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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
TB

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

May 18, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
BAL 79-82  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 6, TB 16 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 10 ยท BAL 7
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 2.38 vs 4.10, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 2.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP home venue edge (ERA 2.61 H vs 4.36 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Road ERA: 4.46
vs
TB โ€” Home LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 2.61

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso DH
  5. 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
  6. 6 Coby Mayo 1B
  7. 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  8. 8 Weston Wilson 3B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander CF
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade RF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
  6. 6 Chandler Simpson LF
  7. 7 Nick Fortes C
  8. 8 Taylor Walls SS
  9. 9 Carson Williams 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.701
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 +1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +5.5 (-148)
TB -5.5 (+113)
Total (O/U)
Over 16.5 (-103)
Under 16.5 (-127)
Moneyline
BAL +1280
TB -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
58 ยท OVER
TB โ€” Home

No data yet.

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All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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