โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
COL

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies

June 22, 2026 ยท 8:40 PM ET ยท Coors Field
BOS 87-75  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 2, COL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 70%
Projected Score BOS 3 ยท COL 1
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.34 vs 4.39, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 7.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Line move (5pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Road ERA: 4.24
vs
COL โ€” Home RHP
Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner
ERA5.40
WHIP1.51
FIP5.01
K/96.7
K/BB2.9
Home ERA: 6.46

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Mickey Gasper C
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Masataka Yoshida DH
  8. 8 Anthony Seigler 2B
  9. 9 Marcelo Mayer SS
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Willi Castro 2B
  2. 2 Tyler Freeman RF
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Hunter Goodman C
  5. 5 Cole Carrigg CF
  6. 6 Jake McCarthy LF
  7. 7 Braxton Fulford DH
  8. 8 Kyle Karros 3B
  9. 9 Ezequiel Tovar SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.738 0.733
Bullpen FIP 3.55 5.45
Run Diff / 10G +0.5 +0.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (+306)
COL +1.5 (-450)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (-125)
Under 3.5 (-104)
Moneyline
BOS -161
COL +123

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท UNDER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Singles
0.5
52 ยท OVER
Jarren Duran Jarren Duran LF
Singles
0.5
52 ยท OVER
COL โ€” Home
TJ Rumfield TJ Rumfield 1B
Singles
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy LF
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
Ryan Feltner Ryan Feltner SP
Outs
14.5
52 ยท UNDER
Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar SS
Singles
0.5
51 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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