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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CHW vs
BAL

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

June 29, 2026 ยท 6:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
CHW 84-78  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: CHW 8, BAL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago White Sox
Confidence 54%
Projected Score CHW 5 ยท BAL 4
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 3.34 vs 3.59) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL CHW SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW K edge vs BAL lineup (9.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW SP road mastery (ERA 2.83 R vs 4.25 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CHW โ€” Away RHP
Sean Burke
Sean Burke
ERA3.34
WHIP1.20
FIP3.47
K/99.7
K/BB6.4
Road ERA: 2.83
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 4.00

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CHW โ€” Away
  1. 1 Sam Antonacci LF
  2. 2 Miguel Vargas 3B
  3. 3 Colson Montgomery SS
  4. 4 Kyle Teel C
  5. 5 Randal Grichuk DH
  6. 6 Braden Montgomery RF
  7. 7 Tristan Peters CF
  8. 8 Chase Meidroth 2B
  9. 9 Jacob Gonzalez 1B
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Dylan Beavers RF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  8. 8 Blaze Alexander 3B
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CHW Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.745 0.721
Bullpen FIP 4.03 3.94
Run Diff / 10G +2.1 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 3 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CHW -3.5 (+103)
BAL +3.5 (-134)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+133)
Under 8.5 (-174)
Moneyline
CHW -10000
BAL +1420

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHW โ€” Away
Sean Burke Sean Burke SP
Outs
15.5
54 ยท UNDER
Kyle Teel Kyle Teel C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
53 ยท OVER
BAL โ€” Home
Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 1B
RBIs
1.5
59 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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