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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
NYM

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

May 26, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
CIN 75-87  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 7, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cincinnati Reds
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CIN 7 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN SP quality edge (FIP 3.03 vs 3.55) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 4.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Recent run diff (+1.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN NYM SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away RHP
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
ERA2.86
WHIP1.17
FIP3.22
K/910.8
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.56
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
David Peterson
David Peterson
ERA4.79
WHIP1.50
FIP3.88
K/98.3
K/BB4.4
Home ERA: 5.45

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Blake Dunn RF
  2. 2 Elly De La Cruz SS
  3. 3 Sal Stewart DH
  4. 4 Spencer Steer 1B
  5. 5 Eugenio Suarez 3B
  6. 6 Dane Myers CF
  7. 7 JJ Bleday LF
  8. 8 Tyler Stephenson C
  9. 9 Matt McLain 2B
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 A.J. Ewing CF
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 Brett Baty 3B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 MJ Melendez LF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.741 0.722
Bullpen FIP 5.25 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN -4.5 (-118)
NYM +4.5 (-110)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+105)
Under 10.5 (-136)
Moneyline
CIN -10000
NYM +1280

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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