โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
NYM

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets

May 12, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
DET 76-86  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: DET 2, NYM 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท DET 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.93 vs 4.97) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Defensive edge (dWAR 2.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs NYM lineup (10.5 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 1.76 H vs 4.32 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 4.75
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Home ERA: 1.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Matt Vierling CF
  3. 3 Colt Keith DH
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Dillon Dingler C
  6. 6 Wenceel Perez RF
  7. 7 Gage Workman 3B
  8. 8 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  9. 9 Zach McKinstry 2B
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 MJ Melendez DH
  6. 6 Brett Baty 3B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Player #4873604 CF
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.694 0.714
Bullpen FIP 4.74 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 +0.3
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET +3.5 (+153)
NYM -3.5 (-202)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-120)
Under 9.5 (-108)
Moneyline
DET +1240
NYM -9900

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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