โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians

May 11, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
LAA 62-100  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: LAA 2, CLE 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CLE 6 ยท LAA 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 4.14 vs 4.35, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 2.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs LAA lineup (9.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+1.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

LAA โ€” Away LHP
ERA3.36
WHIP1.22
FIP3.50
K/97.7
K/BB5.2
vs
CLE โ€” Home LHP
ERA3.62
WHIP1.42
FIP3.87
K/99.7
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 3.90

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

LAA Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.673 0.704
Bullpen FIP 4.57 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -1.4 +0.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
LAA +4.5 (-132)
CLE -4.5 (+101)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-102)
Under 8.5 (-127)
Moneyline
LAA +750
CLE -1800

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

LAA โ€” Away

No data yet.

CLE โ€” Home
Joey Cantillo Joey Cantillo SP
Outs
14.5
51 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.