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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

July 7, 2026 ยท 2:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 4, STL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 71%
Projected Score MIL 5 ยท STL 3
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 2.05 vs 4.17) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 6.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
ERA1.80
WHIP0.80
FIP2.01
K/913.0
K/BB10.7
Road ERA: 2.16
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Matt Svanson
Matt Svanson
ERA7.27
WHIP1.75
FIP4.17
K/98.6
K/BB4.2

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Christian Yelich DH
  2. 2 Jackson Chourio LF
  3. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  4. 4 William Contreras C
  5. 5 Jake Bauers 1B
  6. 6 Garrett Mitchell CF
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Cooper Pratt SS
  9. 9 Joey Ortiz 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt SS
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar LF
  6. 6 Bryan Torres 2B
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Jose Fermin 3B
  9. 9 Jimmy Crooks C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.757 0.702
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.1 +1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -1.5 (+1360)
STL +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+1060)
Under 7.5 (-4400)
Moneyline
MIL -10000
STL +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio LF
Singles
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Brice Turang Brice Turang 2B
RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 3B
Singles
0.5
69 ยท OVER
William Contreras William Contreras C
RBIs
1.5
68 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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