โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
WSH

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

May 1, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
MIL 103-59  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 6, WSH 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIL 6 ยท WSH 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 2.05 vs 4.33) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL WSH SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 5.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL K edge vs WSH lineup (13.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL WSH SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
ERA1.80
WHIP0.80
FIP2.01
K/913.0
K/BB10.7
Road ERA: 2.16
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Jake Irvin
Jake Irvin
ERA5.48
WHIP1.39
FIP4.83
K/99.3
K/BB5.3
Home ERA: 6.84

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Garrett Mitchell CF
  2. 2 Brice Turang 2B
  3. 3 William Contreras C
  4. 4 Jake Bauers 1B
  5. 5 Luis Rengifo 3B
  6. 6 Tyler Black DH
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Blake Perkins LF
  9. 9 David Hamilton SS
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. DH
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 1B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Brady House 3B
  7. 7 Jorbit Vivas 2B
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Jacob Young CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.703 0.749
Bullpen FIP 3.68 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +1.7 +0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -4.5 (+119)
WSH +4.5 (-155)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-134)
Under 8.5 (+103)
Moneyline
MIL -4900
WSH +1080

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Jacob Misiorowski Jacob Misiorowski SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
57 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home
Jake Irvin Jake Irvin SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB