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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
WSH

Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals

May 7, 2026 ยท 1:05 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
MIN 77-85  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 5, WSH 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score WSH 8 ยท MIN 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP quality edge (FIP 4.07 vs 6.21) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN WSH SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN WSH SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away RHP
Simeon Woods Richardson
Simeon Woods Richardson
ERA6.68
WHIP1.76
FIP5.74
K/95.5
K/BB0.4
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Jake Irvin
Jake Irvin
ERA5.48
WHIP1.39
FIP4.83
K/99.3
K/BB5.3
Home ERA: 6.84

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Trevor Larnach DH
  3. 3 Austin Martin LF
  4. 4 Ryan Jeffers C
  5. 5 Matt Wallner RF
  6. 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
  7. 7 Kody Clemens 1B
  8. 8 Brooks Lee SS
  9. 9 Tristan Gray 3B
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Daylen Lile LF
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 1B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Brady House 3B
  6. 6 Jose Tena DH
  7. 7 Jacob Young CF
  8. 8 Keibert Ruiz C
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.743
Bullpen FIP 4.18 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -1.2 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN +1.5 (+241)
WSH -1.5 (-337)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (+235)
Under 12.5 (-327)
Moneyline
MIN +910
WSH -2800

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIN โ€” Away

No data yet.

WSH โ€” Home
Jake Irvin Jake Irvin SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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