โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
PHI

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

June 18, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 6, PHI 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 61%
Projected Score PHI 6 ยท NYM 5
Blowout Probability 7%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 4.38 vs 4.86) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYM SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 4.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM PHI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.78
WHIP1.30
FIP4.23
K/98.6
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 5.49
vs
PHI โ€” Home RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.84
K/99.1
K/BB6.1
Home ERA: 5.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Jared Young 1B
  5. 5 A.J. Ewing CF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 MJ Melendez DH
  9. 9 Francisco Alvarez C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh RF
  6. 6 Edmundo Sosa LF
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 J.T. Realmuto C
  9. 9 Derek Hill CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.725 0.734
Bullpen FIP 4.39 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 +0.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (-1240)
PHI +1.5 (+610)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+600)
Under 10.5 (-1180)
Moneyline
NYM -4600
PHI +1020

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away

No data yet.

PHI โ€” Home
Aaron Nola Aaron Nola SP
Outs
16.5
51 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB