โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

May 18, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 16, WSH 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 10 ยท WSH 7
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.52 vs 4.36) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM WSH SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs WSH lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM WSH SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
ERA3.85
WHIP1.27
FIP3.36
K/911.0
K/BB7.1
Road ERA: 4.08
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
ERA5.48
WHIP1.39
FIP4.83
K/99.3
K/BB5.3
Home ERA: 6.84

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Brett Baty 3B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Player #4873604 CF
  8. 8 Tyrone Taylor LF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.732 0.729
Bullpen FIP 4.39 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 -0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -2.5 (-132)
WSH +2.5 (+102)
Total (O/U)
Over 16.5 (-159)
Under 16.5 (+122)
Moneyline
NYM -1220
WSH +610

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away

No data yet.

WSH โ€” Home
Jake Irvin Jake Irvin SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.