โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

May 11, 2026 ยท 6:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
NYY 93-68  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 2, BAL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BAL 4 ยท NYY 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.12 vs 5.04) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+5.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BAL SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Road ERA: 3.21
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
ERA3.56
WHIP1.35
FIP4.40
K/97.7
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 4.08

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.738 0.713
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.94
Run Diff / 10G +2.6 -2.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+1040)
BAL +1.5 (-4300)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+339)
Under 5.5 (-512)
Moneyline
NYY +550
BAL -1040

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.