โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
BOS

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

June 27, 2026 ยท 1:00 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 1, BOS 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 67%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท NYY 2
Blowout Probability 11%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.96 vs 4.06, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.50
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jasson Dominguez RF
  6. 6 Jose Caballero 2B
  7. 7 Max Schuemann CF
  8. 8 Anthony Volpe SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Masataka Yoshida DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Anthony Seigler 2B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Tsung-Che Cheng SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.714
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.55
Run Diff / 10G -1.2 +1.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +2.5 (+202)
BOS -2.5 (-275)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (-134)
Under 5.5 (+103)
Moneyline
NYY +1220
BOS -8900

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
70 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
73 ยท OVER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Tsung-Che Cheng Tsung-Che Cheng SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
71 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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