โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
PHI

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

July 25, 2026 ยท 6:05 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYY 81-62  ยท  PHI 80-63

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 3, PHI 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 52%
Projected Score NYY 3 ยท PHI 2
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.46 vs 3.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 3.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs PHI lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP road mastery (ERA 1.16 R vs 3.50 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Line move (37pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA2.04
WHIP0.94
FIP2.52
K/911.0
K/BB8.8
Road ERA: 1.16
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
ERA3.28
WHIP1.08
FIP3.18
K/98.8
K/BB6.6

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Amed Rosario 3B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Trent Grisham CF
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez RF
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa LF
  6. 6 Bryan De La Cruz RF
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Bryson Stott 2B
  9. 9 Derek Hill CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.754
Bullpen FIP 3.98 4.06
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 -0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (-423)
PHI +1.5 (+291)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+271)
Under 4.5 (-387)
Moneyline
NYY -1780
PHI +750

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
Bryan De La Cruz Bryan De La Cruz RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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