โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
TB

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

July 8, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 0, TB 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 71%
Projected Score TB 3 ยท NYY 1
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 3.89 vs 4.09, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+4.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP home venue edge (ERA 2.61 H vs 4.36 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.50
vs
TB โ€” Home LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 2.61

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jasson Dominguez RF
  6. 6 Anthony Volpe SS
  7. 7 Max Schuemann CF
  8. 8 Austin Wells C
  9. 9 Jose Caballero 2B
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Cedric Mullins CF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca RF
  6. 6 Chandler Simpson LF
  7. 7 Ben Williamson 2B
  8. 8 Taylor Walls SS
  9. 9 Nick Fortes C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.715
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -2.5 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +2.5 (+162)
TB -2.5 (-218)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+166)
Under 3.5 (-222)
Moneyline
NYY +1120
TB -5800

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole SP
Outs
17.5
53 ยท UNDER
TB โ€” Home
Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson LF
Singles
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz DH
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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