โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
TOR

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

June 12, 2026 ยท 7:37 PM ET ยท Rogers Centre
NYY 93-68  ยท  TOR 79-83

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 5, TOR 8 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 63%
Projected Score NYY 7 ยท TOR 6
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TOR Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP quality edge (FIP 3.81 vs 4.20) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Defensive edge (dWAR 2.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+2.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY TOR SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Road ERA: 3.21
vs
TOR โ€” Home RHP
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
ERA3.69
WHIP1.14
FIP4.16
K/99.0
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 4.41

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Spencer Jones RF
  7. 7 Jose Caballero SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 J.C. Escarra C
TOR โ€” Home
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Ernie Clement 2B
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Alejandro Kirk C
  5. 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  6. 6 Nathan Lukes RF
  7. 7 Myles Straw CF
  8. 8 Davis Schneider LF
  9. 9 Andres Gimenez SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away TOR Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.692
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.49
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 -1.5
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +1.5 (+322)
TOR -1.5 (-479)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (+162)
Under 12.5 (-215)
Moneyline
NYY +1100
TOR -5200

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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