โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
MIA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

July 29, 2026 ยท 12:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
PHI 88-74  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 6, MIA 8 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 9 ยท MIA 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.28 vs 4.46) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 3.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 1.83 R vs 3.69 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away LHP
Jesus Luzardo
Jesus Luzardo
ERA2.86
WHIP1.07
FIP2.59
K/911.1
K/BB8.5
Road ERA: 1.83
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto
ERA4.09
WHIP1.44
FIP4.00
K/97.6
K/BB4.7
Home ERA: 4.33

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner DH
  2. 2 Bryson Stott 2B
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 J.T. Realmuto C
  6. 6 Brandon Marsh LF
  7. 7 Bryan De La Cruz RF
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 9 Edmundo Sosa SS
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Otto Lopez SS
  2. 2 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  3. 3 Liam Hicks 1B
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Javier Sanoja 3B
  6. 6 Leo Jimenez 3B
  7. 6 Kyle Stowers DH
  8. 7 Esteury Ruiz RF
  9. 8 Brian Navarreto C
  10. 9 Jakob Marsee CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.715 0.707
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.0 -1.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +1.5 (+316)
MIA -1.5 (-467)
Total (O/U)
Over 14.5 (+310)
Under 14.5 (-456)
Moneyline
PHI +1120
MIA -6000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Justin Crawford Justin Crawford CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท UNDER
Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
MIA โ€” Home
Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER
Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท OVER
Heriberto Hernandez Heriberto Hernandez LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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