โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
SD

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

May 26, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Petco Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  SD 91-71

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 4, SD 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 5 ยท SD 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

SD Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD SP quality edge (FIP 4.84 vs 4.96, PF 0.91) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Defensive edge (dWAR 5.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 3.95 R vs 5.72 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.84
K/99.1
K/BB6.1
Road ERA: 3.95
vs
SD โ€” Home RHP
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
ERA5.68
WHIP1.52
FIP4.59
K/98.9
K/BB4.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kyle Schwarber DH
  2. 2 Trea Turner SS
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh RF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 9 Edmundo Sosa LF
SD โ€” Home
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  2. 2 Xander Bogaerts SS
  3. 3 Gavin Sheets LF
  4. 4 Manny Machado 3B
  5. 5 Miguel Andujar DH
  6. 6 Jackson Merrill CF
  7. 7 Ty France 1B
  8. 8 Ramon Laureano RF
  9. 9 Freddy Fermin C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away SD Home
Team OPS 0.726 0.723
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.44
Run Diff / 10G +1.0 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -1.5 (+284)
SD +1.5 (-410)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+990)
Under 7.5 (-3500)
Moneyline
PHI -10000
SD +1320

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB