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MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
BAL

San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

June 12, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SD 91-71  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: SD 3, BAL 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 63%
Projected Score BAL 7 ยท SD 5
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 3.56 vs 5.16) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
ERA5.68
WHIP1.52
FIP4.59
K/98.9
K/BB4.7
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 4.00

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  2. 2 Jackson Merrill CF
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Xander Bogaerts SS
  5. 5 Gavin Sheets RF
  6. 6 Samad Taylor LF
  7. 7 Ty France 1B
  8. 8 Will Wagner DH
  9. 9 Freddy Fermin C
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Coby Mayo 3B
  7. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  8. 8 Tyler O'Neill RF
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.719
Bullpen FIP 3.44 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -1.1 +1.0
Days Rest 1 0
Streak 4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD +3.5 (+143)
BAL -3.5 (-188)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+120)
Under 11.5 (-157)
Moneyline
SD +1300
BAL -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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