โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
CLE

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians

June 28, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
SEA 76-86  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 5, CLE 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 68%
Projected Score CLE 7 ยท SEA 5
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 3.51 vs 4.18, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SEA SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 2.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Catcher arm edge (CS% 16pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs SEA lineup (12.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP home venue edge (ERA 2.91 H vs 5.13 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Line move (28pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
George Kirby
George Kirby
ERA4.33
WHIP1.40
FIP3.85
K/97.6
K/BB5.2
Road ERA: 5.55
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
ERA3.76
WHIP1.11
FIP3.38
K/912.1
K/BB9.1
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 J.P. Crawford 3B
  2. 2 Julio Rodriguez CF
  3. 3 Josh Naylor 1B
  4. 4 Randy Arozarena LF
  5. 5 Cal Raleigh DH
  6. 6 Cole Young 2B
  7. 7 Colt Emerson SS
  8. 8 Mitch Garver C
  9. 9 Victor Robles RF
CLE โ€” Home
  1. 1 Steven Kwan CF
  2. 2 Travis Bazzana 2B
  3. 3 Chase DeLauter DH
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Kahlil Watson RF
  6. 6 Brayan Rocchio SS
  7. 7 Cooper Ingle LF
  8. 8 Gabriel Arias 3B
  9. 9 Austin Hedges C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.676 0.705
Bullpen FIP 4.56 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -1.7 -0.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (+890)
CLE +1.5 (-2700)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+274)
Under 11.5 (-392)
Moneyline
SEA +345
CLE -532

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SEA โ€” Away
Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena LF
Runs
1.5
64 ยท UNDER
Julio Rodriguez Julio Rodriguez CF
Singles
0.5
58 ยท OVER
CLE โ€” Home
Steven Kwan Steven Kwan CF
Singles
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio SS
Runs
1.5
53 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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