โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
PIT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

April 28, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท PNC Park
STL 77-85  ยท  PIT 82-80

๐Ÿ Final: STL 11, PIT 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 11 ยท PIT 8
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PIT Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 4.44) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Road ERA: 4.00
vs
PIT โ€” Home RHP
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA3.65
WHIP1.09
FIP3.37
K/99.4
K/BB7.5
Home ERA: 3.80

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF
PIT โ€” Home
  1. 1 Oneil Cruz CF
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds DH
  4. 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
  5. 5 Nick Gonzales 3B
  6. 6 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  7. 7 Konnor Griffin SS
  8. 8 Jake Mangum LF
  9. 9 Henry Davis C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away PIT Home
Team OPS 0.669 0.745
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.99
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 +0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -4.5 (-103)
PIT +4.5 (-126)
Total (O/U)
Over 18.5 (-176)
Under 18.5 (+134)
Moneyline
STL -7400
PIT +1180

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

STL โ€” Away
Kyle Leahy Kyle Leahy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
55 ยท OVER
PIT โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB