โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
BAL

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

May 26, 2026 ยท 6:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TB 98-64  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: TB 1, BAL 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BAL 6 ยท TB 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 3.65 vs 4.39) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+3.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.93
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 4.00

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Cedric Mullins CF
  7. 7 Victor Mesa Jr. RF
  8. 8 Hunter Feduccia C
  9. 9 Oliver Dunn SS
  10. 9 Taylor Walls SS
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Pete Alonso 1B
  4. 4 Samuel Basallo C
  5. 5 Leody Taveras CF
  6. 6 Jeremiah Jackson DH
  7. 7 Colton Cowser RF
  8. 8 Blaze Alexander 3B
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.729 0.701
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.94
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 -1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB +4.5 (+101)
BAL -4.5 (-132)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+100)
Under 9.5 (-130)
Moneyline
TB +1260
BAL -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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