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MLB Matchup Intelligence

TEX vs
BOS

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

June 12, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
TEX 80-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: TEX 1, BOS 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 71%
Projected Score BOS 7 ยท TEX 4
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TEX Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries TEX (Josh Jung, Corey Seager) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.38 vs 4.53, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 8.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TEX Recent run diff (+0.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TEX โ€” Away RightHP
Jack Leiter
Jack Leiter
ERA5.29
WHIP1.44
FIP4.61
K/99.3
K/BB5.4
Road ERA: 5.74
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Home ERA: 2.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TEX โ€” Away
  1. 1 Joc Pederson DH
  2. 2 Josh Jung 3B
  3. 3 Brandon Nimmo RF
  4. 4 Wyatt Langford LF
  5. 5 Ezequiel Duran SS
  6. 6 Evan Carter CF
  7. 7 Jake Burger 1B
  8. 8 Kyle Higashioka C
  9. 9 Nicky Lopez 2B
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Mickey Gasper DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
  8. 8 Marcelo Mayer SS
  9. 9 Connor Wong C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TEX Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.717
Bullpen FIP 5.56 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.2 +0.4
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TEX +4.5 (-101)
BOS -4.5 (-129)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+101)
Under 10.5 (-131)
Moneyline
TEX +1320
BOS -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TEX โ€” Away

No data yet.

BOS โ€” Home
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
16.5
63 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

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