โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
NYY

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

May 18, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
TOR 79-83  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: TOR 6, NYY 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 8 ยท TOR 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.97 vs 3.99, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Defensive edge (dWAR 2.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP road mastery (ERA 4.07 R vs 6.92 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away LHP
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
ERA5.51
WHIP1.54
FIP4.41
K/97.1
K/BB4.3
Road ERA: 4.07
vs
NYY โ€” Home LHP
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Home ERA: 3.79

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  4. 4 Lenyn Sosa 2B
  5. 5 Daulton Varsho CF
  6. 6 Ernie Clement SS
  7. 7 Myles Straw RF
  8. 8 Brandon Valenzuela C
  9. 9 Davis Schneider LF
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Aaron Judge RF
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger CF
  5. 5 Amed Rosario 3B
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Anthony Volpe SS
  8. 8 Max Schuemann LF
  9. 9 J.C. Escarra C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.657 0.729
Bullpen FIP 4.49 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -1.5 (+940)
NYY +1.5 (-3000)
Total (O/U)
Over 13.5 (+405)
Under 13.5 (-650)
Moneyline
TOR +593
NYY -1140

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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