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MLB Matchup Intelligence

WSH vs
BAL

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

June 28, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
WSH 77-85  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 6, BAL 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BAL 7 ยท WSH 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 4.06 vs 6.08) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+2.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.36 H vs 4.93 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Line move (50pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away RHP
Zack Littell
Zack Littell
ERA5.21
WHIP1.41
FIP6.01
K/95.3
K/BB2.5
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.36

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

WSH โ€” Away
  1. 1 James Wood DH
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 3B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Dylan Crews RF
  6. 6 Daylen Lile LF
  7. 7 Jacob Young CF
  8. 8 Jorbit Vivas 2B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso DH
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo 1B
  6. 6 Dylan Beavers RF
  7. 7 Coby Mayo 3B
  8. 8 Colton Cowser CF
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.768 0.719
Bullpen FIP 5.88 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -1.6 +1.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH -1.5 (-420)
BAL +1.5 (+290)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+266)
Under 10.5 (-379)
Moneyline
WSH -1160
BAL +593

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

WSH โ€” Away
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Dylan Crews Dylan Crews RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Luis Garcia Jr. Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท UNDER
Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
BAL โ€” Home
Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Colton Cowser Colton Cowser CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท UNDER
Taylor Ward Taylor Ward LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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