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MLB Matchup Intelligence

WSH vs
NYM

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

April 28, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
WSH 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 0, NYM 8 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท WSH 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.87 vs 6.76) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+1.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 1.20 H vs 7.41 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away RHP
Zack Littell
Zack Littell
ERA5.21
WHIP1.41
FIP6.01
K/95.3
K/BB2.5
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Clay Holmes
Clay Holmes
ERA3.29
WHIP1.19
FIP3.57
K/96.9
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 1.20

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

WSH โ€” Away
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Brady House DH
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Jacob Young CF
  7. 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Bo Bichette 3B
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 Francisco Alvarez C
  4. 4 MJ Melendez LF
  5. 5 Mark Vientos 1B
  6. 6 Brett Baty RF
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Carson Benge CF
  9. 9 Ronny Mauricio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.714 0.713
Bullpen FIP 5.88 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 -2.2
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH +5.5 (-135)
NYM -5.5 (-105)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-111)
Under 8.5 (-117)
Moneyline
WSH +1120
NYM -5500

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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