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MLB Final Intelligence

BAL 69-70
8 – 7
FINAL
STL 69-70

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals β€” Recap

August 26, 2026  Β· Busch Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Baltimore Orioles secured an 8-7 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals, narrowly escaping after surrendering a seven-run lead before pushing across the winning run in the ninth inning. The upset win for Baltimore defied pregame market odds, which had favored St. Louis, but aligned with SportsFBI's model that leaned towards the Orioles given their recent strong run differential.

Baltimore jumped out to an imposing lead early, plating five runs in the opening frame. Leody Taveras launched a three-run homer to right center, part of an inning that also saw RBIs from Encarnacion-Strand and Beavers. They extended their advantage in the second when Alonso connected for a two-run shot to make it 7-0. The Cardinals responded with a solo home run from Gorman in the bottom of the second, but the deficit remained significant heading into the middle innings.

St. Louis engineered a dramatic comeback in the fifth inning, exploding for six runs to tie the game. Burleson drove in two with a single, followed by a Walker double that trimmed the lead to three. Church then doubled home two more, closing the gap to 7-6, before FermΓ­n's groundout brought home the tying run. Cardinals reliever Luis Gastelum then kept the Orioles scoreless over a perfect inning, fanning three, effectively maintaining the deadlock after the furious comeback.

In the ninth, Encarnacion-Strand delivered again, doubling to center field to drive in VΓ‘zquez and break the tie. This clutch hit ultimately secured the hard-fought victory for the Orioles, who managed to overcome a significant mid-game collapse to prevail. The Orioles moved to 65-68, while the Cardinals fell to 66-68.

#MLB #BaltimoreOrioles #StLouisCardinals #EncarnacionStrand

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-112, 50% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 8–7, pulling off the upset.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Orioles (65% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 8–7.

Player of the Game

Leody Taveras
At the Plate
5 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Luis Gastelum
On the Mound
1.0 IP, 3 K, 0 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
BAL 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 130
STL 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 7 110

Turning Point

The game turned in the 5th inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 6 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Michael McGreevy 5.0 10 7 7 2 3 3.86
Kyle Bradish 4.1 9 7 7 2 4 4.03
Rico Garcia 1.1 0 0 0 1 2 3.16
Andrew Kittredge S 1.0 1 0 0 1 0 3.35
Grant Wolfram W 1.0 0 0 0 1 0 5.05
George Soriano 1.0 1 0 0 1 0 4.03
Luis Gastelum 1.0 0 0 0 0 3 5.16
Riley O'Brien L 1.0 2 1 1 0 0 4.02
Ryne Stanek 1.0 0 0 0 1 1 4.50
Alex Hoppe 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 4.58
Josh Walker 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 2.45

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 5 4 0 2 1 0 1
Bryan Torres 3 3 0 0 1 0 0
Ivan Herrera 4 3 0 0 1 1 1
Dylan Beavers 4 2 0 1 1 1 0
Colton Cowser 4 2 0 0 0 1 0
Samuel Basallo 4 2 0 0 1 1 2
Leody Taveras 5 1 1 3 1 0 0
Pete Alonso 4 1 1 2 1 1 1
Nolan Gorman 3 1 1 1 1 0 0
Alec Burleson 5 1 0 2 1 0 1
Nathan Church 4 1 0 2 1 1 1
Jordan Walker 4 1 0 1 1 1 1
Gunnar Henderson 5 1 0 0 1 0 1
JJ Wetherholt 4 1 0 0 1 1 0

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