MLB Final Intelligence
Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals β Recap
August 26, 2026 Β· Busch Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Baltimore Orioles secured an 8-7 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals, narrowly escaping after surrendering a seven-run lead before pushing across the winning run in the ninth inning. The upset win for Baltimore defied pregame market odds, which had favored St. Louis, but aligned with SportsFBI's model that leaned towards the Orioles given their recent strong run differential.
Baltimore jumped out to an imposing lead early, plating five runs in the opening frame. Leody Taveras launched a three-run homer to right center, part of an inning that also saw RBIs from Encarnacion-Strand and Beavers. They extended their advantage in the second when Alonso connected for a two-run shot to make it 7-0. The Cardinals responded with a solo home run from Gorman in the bottom of the second, but the deficit remained significant heading into the middle innings.
St. Louis engineered a dramatic comeback in the fifth inning, exploding for six runs to tie the game. Burleson drove in two with a single, followed by a Walker double that trimmed the lead to three. Church then doubled home two more, closing the gap to 7-6, before FermΓn's groundout brought home the tying run. Cardinals reliever Luis Gastelum then kept the Orioles scoreless over a perfect inning, fanning three, effectively maintaining the deadlock after the furious comeback.
In the ninth, Encarnacion-Strand delivered again, doubling to center field to drive in VΓ‘zquez and break the tie. This clutch hit ultimately secured the hard-fought victory for the Orioles, who managed to overcome a significant mid-game collapse to prevail. The Orioles moved to 65-68, while the Cardinals fell to 66-68.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the St. Louis Cardinals (-112, 50% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 8β7, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Orioles (65% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 8β7.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 5th inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 6 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy |
|
5.0 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3.86 |
| Kyle Bradish |
|
4.1 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4.03 |
| Rico Garcia |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.16 |
| Andrew Kittredge S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.35 |
| Grant Wolfram W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.05 |
| George Soriano |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.03 |
| Luis Gastelum |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.16 |
| Riley O'Brien L |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.02 |
| Ryne Stanek |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.50 |
| Alex Hoppe |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.58 |
| Josh Walker |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.45 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand |
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Torres |
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dylan Beavers |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Colton Cowser |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Samuel Basallo |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Leody Taveras |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pete Alonso |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nolan Gorman |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nathan Church |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gunnar Henderson |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
More MLB Results β Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Sharper Picks Start Here
Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking β all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.