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MLB Final Intelligence

MIA 80-82
7 – 8
FINAL
ARI 86-76

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks β€” Recap

September 14, 2026  Β· Chase Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks staged a dramatic late-inning comeback, erasing a three-run deficit in the final two frames to secure a walk-off victory over the Miami Marlins. While Miami's offense produced runs consistently throughout the contest, Arizona's powerful finish ultimately proved decisive.

Miami initially seized control in the second inning when Javier Sanoja tripled, driving in two runs, followed by Mack's sacrifice fly to build a 3-0 lead. The Diamondbacks quickly responded in the third, as Smith stole home and Nootbaar launched a two-run home run to tie the game at three. However, the Marlins immediately reclaimed the lead in the fourth with back-to-back solo home runs from Marsee and Sanoja. Carroll's single for Arizona in the fifth inning narrowed the gap to 5-4.

The Marlins appeared to create crucial separation in the top of the seventh, pushing their lead to 7-4 on Stowers' double and Edwards' subsequent single. Despite Sanoja's impressive offensive output for Miami, which included a home run and three RBIs, the Diamondbacks' late-game power became the ultimate turning point. Lawlar launched a two-run homer in the bottom of the eighth, cutting the deficit to one run. The comeback culminated in the ninth inning with Carroll's two-run walk-off blast, sealing the improbable win.

Arizona’s ability to find timely hitting and power in the clutch, overcoming multiple deficits, ultimately decided a contest that had been favored by pregame analytics. This resilience moves the Diamondbacks' record to 80-71, while the Marlins now stand at 74-77.

#MLB #Diamondbacks #Marlins #CarrollWalkOff #JavierSanoja

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (-137, 55% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 8–7.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (61% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 8–7.

Player of the Game

Javier Sanoja
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Sandy Alcantara
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 6 K, 4 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
MIA 0 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 7 122
ARI 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 8 110

Turning Point

The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Miami Marlins scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Sandy Alcantara 5.0 7 4 4 2 6 3.86
Corbin Burnes 4.2 5 5 5 0 4 5.87
Jonathan Loaisiga 1.1 2 0 0 0 2 2.36
Juan Morillo W 1.0 0 0 0 1 3 2.28
Justin Martinez 1.0 2 0 0 1 1 0.00
Kevin Ginkel 1.0 3 2 2 0 3 4.16
Calvin Faucher 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3.55
Michael Petersen 1.0 2 0 0 0 3 3.13
Tyler Zuber 1.0 1 2 2 1 1 5.15
Jack Ralston L 0.1 1 1 1 0 0 4.22

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Lars Nootbaar 5 3 1 2 2 0 1
Jakob Marsee 4 3 1 1 2 0 0
Corbin Carroll 5 2 1 3 1 0 1
Javier Sanoja 4 2 1 3 2 0 0
Jordan Lawlar 4 2 1 2 2 0 1
Xavier Edwards 5 2 0 1 0 0 2
Joe Mack 2 1 0 1 1 1 0
Kyle Stowers 5 1 0 1 1 0 1
Gabriel Moreno 3 1 0 0 0 1 1
Ketel Marte 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
Nolan Arenado 4 1 0 0 0 0 3
Pavin Smith 4 1 0 0 1 0 1
Agustin Ramirez 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Griffin Conine 4 1 0 0 1 0 3
Heriberto Hernandez 4 1 0 0 0 1 1

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