MLB Final Intelligence
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets โ Recap
September 14, 2026 ยท Citi Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Baltimore Orioles secured a narrow 2-1 victory over the New York Mets, overcoming a strong pitching performance from the favored home team. A decisive eighth-inning solo home run provided the slim margin in a tightly contested matchup, delivering an upset win for the visitors.
Baltimore broke the scoreless tie in the top of the second inning when Kjerstad doubled to right field, allowing Holliday to score. New York quickly answered in the bottom of the fourth, as Ewing connected for a solo home run to right, knotting the score at one run apiece. The game remained deadlocked through the middle innings, setting the stage for a late-game resolution.
Mets starter Jonah Tong delivered an exceptional outing, baffling Orioles hitters over six scoreless innings while striking out six. Despite this dominant performance, which contributed to the Mets being favored both by the pregame market and SportsFBI's model due to their starting pitcher quality, the Orioles managed to find a way. Gunnar Henderson ultimately broke the 1-1 tie in the top of the eighth, launching a solo home run to right-center field that proved to be the winning run.
In a game defined by stellar pitching, the Orioles' offense generated just enough power to overcome their favored opponents, securing an important road victory. Following the win, the Orioles move to 73-78, while the Mets' record falls to 69-81.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the New York Mets (-136, 55% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 2โ1, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the New York Mets (72% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Orioles won 2โ1, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Tong |
|
6.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3.43 |
| Brandon Young |
|
5.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3.65 |
| Josh Walker |
|
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.69 |
| Grant Wolfram |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.66 |
| Rico Garcia S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.97 |
| Dedniel Nunez L |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.30 |
| Jonathan Pintaro |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.03 |
| Kodai Senga |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7.02 |
| Yennier Cano W |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.13 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heston Kjerstad |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Colton Cowser |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Holliday |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Benge |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gunnar Henderson |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| A.J. Ewing |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Coby Mayo |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Francisco Alvarez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Juan Soto |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Marcus Semien |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
More MLB Results โ Monday, September 14, 2026
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