MLB Final Intelligence
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs β Recap
September 23, 2026 Β· Wrigley Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Miami Marlins notched a tight 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs, pulling off an upset against a heavily favored opponent. Miami seized an early lead in the middle innings, only to see it evaporate immediately before scratching across the go-ahead run in the subsequent frame, solidifying their advantage through a critical overturned challenge.
After five scoreless innings, the Marlins broke the deadlock in the top of the sixth when Kyle Stowers launched a 412-foot two-run home run to center field, scoring Lopez ahead of him. The Cubs swiftly answered in the bottom of the frame, as Dansby Swanson's single to left field brought home both Busch and Happ, leveling the score at two runs apiece.
The decisive blow came for Miami in the very next inning. With runners on, Mack hit a ground ball to second base, allowing RamΓrez to cross the plate for what proved to be the winning run. The initial call on the field was overturned following a challenge from the Marlins, validating the go-ahead score. This crucial play, coupled with Stowers' earlier power surge, allowed the Marlins to overcome a strong pitching performance from Chicago's Kevin Gausman, who struck out seven over 5.2 innings but still surrendered both of Miami's initial runs. Despite Chicago's recent strong offensive performance, showcased by their +2.2 R/G in the last 10 games, they couldn't muster any more runs after tying the game.
Ultimately, the Marlins prevailed by making key plays and benefiting from a pivotal replay review, defying both the pregame market and SportsFBI's model, which had strongly favored the Cubs. Miami now stands at 78-80 for the season, while Chicago holds an 87-71 record.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-175, 61% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Miami Marlins won 3β2, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Cubs (69% confidence). Final: the Miami Marlins won 3β2, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman |
|
5.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4.51 |
| Ryan Gusto |
|
5.1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4.09 |
| Jacob Webb |
|
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.41 |
| Colin Rea |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.40 |
| Cade Gibson W |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.44 |
| Calvin Faucher |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.34 |
| Sandy Alcantara S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.89 |
| Ryan Rolison L |
|
0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.02 |
| Michael Petersen |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.08 |
| Javier Assad |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.62 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Griffin Conine |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Javier Sanoja |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Stowers |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Dansby Swanson |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ian Happ |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Conforto |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nico Hoerner |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pedro Ramirez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Seiya Suzuki |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Agustin Ramirez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Esteury Ruiz |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Graham Pauley |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jared Serna |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Otto Lopez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
More MLB Results β Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Sharper Picks Start Here
Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking β all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.