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MLB Final Intelligence

MIA 80-82
3 – 2
FINAL
CHC 89-73

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs β€” Recap

September 23, 2026  Β· Wrigley Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Miami Marlins notched a tight 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs, pulling off an upset against a heavily favored opponent. Miami seized an early lead in the middle innings, only to see it evaporate immediately before scratching across the go-ahead run in the subsequent frame, solidifying their advantage through a critical overturned challenge.

After five scoreless innings, the Marlins broke the deadlock in the top of the sixth when Kyle Stowers launched a 412-foot two-run home run to center field, scoring Lopez ahead of him. The Cubs swiftly answered in the bottom of the frame, as Dansby Swanson's single to left field brought home both Busch and Happ, leveling the score at two runs apiece.

The decisive blow came for Miami in the very next inning. With runners on, Mack hit a ground ball to second base, allowing RamΓ­rez to cross the plate for what proved to be the winning run. The initial call on the field was overturned following a challenge from the Marlins, validating the go-ahead score. This crucial play, coupled with Stowers' earlier power surge, allowed the Marlins to overcome a strong pitching performance from Chicago's Kevin Gausman, who struck out seven over 5.2 innings but still surrendered both of Miami's initial runs. Despite Chicago's recent strong offensive performance, showcased by their +2.2 R/G in the last 10 games, they couldn't muster any more runs after tying the game.

Ultimately, the Marlins prevailed by making key plays and benefiting from a pivotal replay review, defying both the pregame market and SportsFBI's model, which had strongly favored the Cubs. Miami now stands at 78-80 for the season, while Chicago holds an 87-71 record.

#MLB #MiamiMarlins #ChicagoCubs #KyleStowers

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-175, 61% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Miami Marlins won 3–2, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Cubs (69% confidence). Final: the Miami Marlins won 3–2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Kyle Stowers
At the Plate
4 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Kevin Gausman
On the Mound
5.2 IP, 7 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
MIA 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 100
CHC 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 80

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Kevin Gausman 5.2 6 2 2 1 7 4.51
Ryan Gusto 5.1 6 2 2 2 5 4.09
Jacob Webb 1.1 1 0 0 1 2 3.41
Colin Rea 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 4.40
Cade Gibson W 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 5.44
Calvin Faucher 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3.34
Sandy Alcantara S 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 3.89
Ryan Rolison L 0.2 2 1 1 0 1 3.02
Michael Petersen 0.2 1 0 0 0 2 3.08
Javier Assad 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 3.62

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Michael Busch 4 2 0 0 1 0 2
Griffin Conine 4 2 0 0 0 0 2
Javier Sanoja 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Kyle Stowers 4 1 1 2 1 0 1
Dansby Swanson 3 1 0 2 0 1 0
Ian Happ 4 1 0 0 1 0 0
Michael Conforto 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Nico Hoerner 3 1 0 0 0 0 1
Pedro Ramirez 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Seiya Suzuki 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Agustin Ramirez 4 1 0 0 1 0 1
Esteury Ruiz 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Graham Pauley 2 1 0 0 0 0 1
Jared Serna 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Otto Lopez 4 1 0 0 1 0 1

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