MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates โ Recap
September 23, 2026 ยท PNC Park ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals defied expectations, securing a 5-1 road victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates. St. Louis overcame an early deficit against a team favored to win, bolstered by a pivotal offensive frame and a stellar performance from their starting pitcher.
Pittsburgh initially seized the lead in the bottom of the second inning when Brandon Lowe launched a solo home run to right center. However, the Cardinals quickly responded. The visitors put three runs on the board in the top of the third inning, then extended their lead with two more scores in the fourth, effectively putting the game out of reach.
The critical turning point came in the third, as St. Louis erased their one-run deficit with a decisive three-run rally. Burleson's single brought home Wetherholt to tie the game, and then Herrera scored on a wild pitch by Curtis, giving the Cardinals their first lead. Bernal then singled to right field, scoring Burleson for the inning's third run. Matthew Liberatore proved instrumental in holding the Pirates at bay, allowing only one earned run and striking out six over 5.2 innings, effectively neutralizing Pittsburgh's offense after the early blast.
Ultimately, the Cardinals prevailed through a combination of timely hitting and resilient pitching, managing to silence a favored opponent's lineup for much of the contest. The St. Louis Cardinals now stand at 77-81, while the Pittsburgh Pirates' record moves to 80-78.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (-121, 52% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 5โ1, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (66% confidence). Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 5โ1, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore W |
|
5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5.23 |
| Khristian Curtis |
|
3.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4.71 |
| Antwone Kelly |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4.41 |
| Lake Bachar |
|
1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.49 |
| Luis Gastelum |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.29 |
| Kirby Yates |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.32 |
| George Soriano |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4.23 |
| Ryne Stanek |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.09 |
| Brandon Eisert L |
|
0.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5.65 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brandon Lowe |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan O'Hearn |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Fermin |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Leo Bernal |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Masyn Winn |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Jared Triolo |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Gonzales |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nolan Gorman |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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