โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

MIA 80-82
3 โ€“ 5
FINAL
HOU 81-81

Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros โ€” Recap

July 21, 2026  ยท Daikin Park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Houston Astros, favored heading into the contest, secured a 5-3 victory over the Miami Marlins, overcoming an early Marlins rally attempt thanks to a pivotal offensive burst. The Astros wasted no time establishing control, with Peรฑa launching a 405-foot solo homer to left center in the bottom of the first, a call confirmed after an umpire review. They added to their lead in the second when Spence doubled to right, driving in Wade Jr. and putting the Marlins in an early 2-0 hole. Astros starter Tatsuya Imai was sharp through these early frames, holding the Marlins scoreless and racking up strikeouts.

Miami finally broke through in the top of the fifth, as Stowers' double to center scored Lopez, cutting the Astros' lead to a single run at 2-1. However, the Astros immediately answered in the bottom of the same inning with the game's decisive blow. Isaac Paredes, who had an outstanding night, blasted a 388-foot, three-run homer to left, bringing home Peรฑa and Alvarez and extending Houston's advantage to a commanding 5-1. This significant swing proved to be the turning point, putting the game firmly in the Astros' grasp.

The Marlins attempted to claw their way back into contention in the seventh inning when Mack connected for a 435-foot, two-run homer to right center, scoring Sanoja and trimming the deficit to 5-3. However, the Astros' pitching staff held firm through the remaining innings to secure the win. Isaac Paredes was the offensive star, collecting two hits including his crucial home run, driving in three runs, and scoring once. On the mound, Tatsuya Imai delivered a stellar performance for Houston, going 6.0 innings, striking out eight Marlins hitters, and allowing just one earned run.

How the Prediction Fared

โœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Houston Astros (-135, 55% implied) over the Miami Marlins. Final: the Houston Astros won 5โ€“3.

Player of the Game

Isaac Paredes
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Tatsuya Imai
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 8 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
MIA 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 81
HOU 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 โ€” 5 80

Turning Point

The game turned in the 5th inning, when the Houston Astros scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Tatsuya Imai W 6.0 4 1 1 3 8 5.59
Tyler Phillips L 4.1 5 3 2 1 2 3.52
Ryan Gusto 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 4.70
AJ Blubaugh 1.0 3 2 2 0 3 3.86
Bennett Sousa 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 6.23
Josh Hader S 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 1.47
Zach Brzykcy 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 3.00
Tyler Zuber 0.2 1 2 2 0 1 4.61

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Isaac Paredes 4 2 1 3 1 0 0
Kyle Stowers 5 2 0 1 0 0 1
Yordan Alvarez 4 2 0 0 1 0 1
Heriberto Hernandez 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Javier Sanoja 4 2 0 0 1 0 0
Joe Mack 4 1 1 2 1 0 3
Jeremy Pena 4 1 1 1 2 0 1
Lucas Spence 3 1 0 1 0 0 1
Christian Walker 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Taylor Trammell 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Griffin Conine 3 1 0 0 0 0 1

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