MLB Final Intelligence
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates โ Recap
July 11, 2026 ยท PNC Park ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates, entering the contest as a slight favorite against the league-leading Milwaukee Brewers (67-41), delivered a dramatic comeback victory, defeating the Brewers 7-6. The Pirates, holding an even 55-55 record, set the tone early in the bottom of the first inning. Esmerlyn Valdez singled to left to plate Mangum, putting the Pirates on the board. The inning continued to unravel for the Brewers when Reynolds scored on a fielding error by third baseman Ortiz, with Gonzales reaching first and Valdez advancing to third, extending Pittsburgh's lead to 2-0.
Milwaukee quickly erased that deficit in the second inning, with Bauers launching a 375-foot home run to right field, scoring Contreras and tying the game at 2-2. However, the Pirates regained their lead in the bottom of the third on Esmerlyn Valdez's towering 421-foot solo home run to center, making it 3-2. The see-saw battle continued into the fifth inning, where the Brewers took their first lead of the game. Pratt doubled to center, bringing Lara home to knot the score at 3-3, and moments later, Frelick connected for a 380-foot homer to right, scoring Pratt and putting Milwaukee ahead 5-3.
The Brewers extended their lead further in the top of the seventh when Contreras singled to left, allowing Mitchell to score and making it 6-3. But the decisive swing of the game came in the bottom half of the seventh, marking the contest's true turning point. With runners on base, Esmerlyn Valdez stepped to the plate and crushed a 380-foot grand slam to right field, clearing the bases as Davis, Mangum, and Lowe all scored. This monumental blast instantly flipped the script, giving the Pirates a 7-6 lead that they would not relinquish.
The Pirates' late rally secured the victory for the favored team, with Esmerlyn Valdez delivering a career-defining performance. He finished the night with three hits, including two home runs, drove in a remarkable six RBIs, and scored two runs. On the mound, Pirates starter Braxton Ashcraft battled through five innings, recording six strikeouts but surrendering five earned runs, yet ultimately earned the win as his team's offense, particularly Valdez, provided the necessary firepower for the comeback.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115, 51% implied) over the Milwaukee Brewers. Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 7โ6.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 7th inning, when the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Ashcraft |
|
5.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3.49 |
| Brandon Sproat |
|
3.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5.16 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski W |
|
3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3.24 |
| Craig Yoho |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3.00 |
| Aaron Ashby L |
|
1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3.56 |
| Bryse Wilson |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.91 |
| Chad Patrick |
|
1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.56 |
| Gregory Soto S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.05 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez |
|
4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cooper Pratt |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| William Contreras |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jake Bauers |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sal Frelick |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Yelich |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Garrett Mitchell |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Luis Lara |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Lowe |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Henry Davis |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jake Mangum |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Gonzales |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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