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MLB Final Intelligence

TOR 79-83
7 – 8
FINAL
SD 91-71

Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres β€” Recap

July 11, 2026  Β· Petco Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The San Diego Padres edged out the Toronto Blue Jays in a tight affair, securing a one-run victory marked by relentless scoring and multiple lead changes. Despite Toronto twice battling back from multi-run deficits, the Padres found a way to deliver the decisive blow in the late innings, fulfilling their pregame favored status.

The Padres struck first in the opening inning, taking an early 2-0 lead on an RBI walk by Sheets and a sacrifice fly from France. The Blue Jays responded immediately in the second, erupting for four runs. Kirk doubled home Okamoto, GimΓ©nez grounded out to score Varsho, and Clase then launched a two-run homer to put Toronto ahead 4-2. However, San Diego wasted no time in answering, as Machado's two-run single later in the second inning tied the game. They then extended their lead in the third when Song singled home two more runs, followed by Cronenworth's RBI single in the fourth, building a 7-4 advantage.

The game's turning point arrived after the Blue Jays had chipped away at San Diego's lead. Although Toronto's four-run second inning represented the largest single scoring frame of the game, it was quickly nullified by San Diego's immediate response. The decisive swing came in the sixth inning, following Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s game-tying three-run homer for Toronto. Just moments later, France broke the 7-7 deadlock with a solo shot in the bottom of the sixth, giving the Padres a lead they would not relinquish. This quick counterpunch after Toronto's big hit ultimately decided the contest.

Ultimately, the Padres' ability to respond swiftly to Toronto's offensive bursts, coupled with France's clutch solo homer, allowed them to prevail in a back-and-forth slugfest. San Diego's pitching staff, particularly Matt Waldron's three scoreless innings with three strikeouts, helped stabilize the game in the middle frames after the early fireworks. The San Diego Padres now stand at 61-56, while the Toronto Blue Jays fall to 54-63.

#MLB #Padres #BlueJays #France

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the San Diego Padres (-126, 53% implied) over the Toronto Blue Jays. Final: the San Diego Padres won 8–7.

Player of the Game

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Matt Waldron
On the Mound
3.0 IP, 3 K, 0 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
TOR 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 7 80
SD 2 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 β€” 8 81

Turning Point

The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Toronto Blue Jays scored 4 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Matt Waldron 3.0 2 0 0 1 3 7.52
Walker Buehler 2.0 3 4 4 4 1 5.36
Mason Fluharty L 2.0 2 1 1 0 1 4.54
Spencer Miles 2.0 1 0 0 2 1 2.85
Trey Yesavage 1.2 1 4 4 7 1 3.72
Bradgley Rodriguez W 1.1 1 1 1 0 0 2.23
Adam Macko 1.1 2 2 2 1 2 4.34
Adrian Morejon 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 3.38
Mason Miller S 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 0.93
Braydon Fisher 1.0 2 1 1 1 2 3.45
Yuki Matsui 0.2 0 2 2 1 0 2.73

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4 2 1 3 1 1 2
Ty France 3 2 1 2 2 0 0
Jake Cronenworth 4 2 0 1 1 0 0
Alejandro Kirk 4 2 0 1 1 0 0
Jackson Merrill 3 2 0 0 2 2 0
Jonatan Clase 2 1 1 2 2 2 1
Manny Machado 5 1 0 2 0 0 1
Sung-Mun Song 3 1 0 2 1 1 0
Ernie Clement 4 1 0 0 0 1 0
Luis Urias 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Nathan Lukes 4 1 0 0 1 0 1

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