โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

NYM 74-88
3 โ€“ 4
FINAL
MIL 103-59

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers โ€” Recap

July 22, 2026  ยท American Family Field  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers, entering the contest as the clear favorite with a commanding 66-39 record against the New York Mets' 44-62 mark, delivered on pregame expectations in a tight 4-3 victory. While the Brewers ultimately came out on top, it was the Mets who drew first blood in the top of the second inning when Semien launched a 377-foot solo home run to left field, momentarily giving New York a 1-0 advantage.

However, the Brewers swiftly seized control in the bottom of the second, orchestrating a pivotal three-run rally that proved to be the game's turning point. Joey Ortiz ignited the offense with a crucial triple to right, driving in both Mitchell and Vaughn to put Milwaukee ahead 2-1. Yelich followed with a single to left, bringing Ortiz home and extending the Brewers' lead to 3-1. Brewers starter Logan Henderson was solid through this stretch, ultimately finishing with an impressive 5.0 innings pitched, allowing just 2 earned runs while striking out 9 batters.

The Mets attempted to chip away at the deficit, as Baty belted a 366-foot solo shot to right field in the top of the fifth, narrowing the score to 3-2. But Milwaukee responded in the bottom of the sixth when Yelich delivered another timely hit, a triple to right that scored Ortiz, pushing the lead back to 4-2 and re-establishing a crucial two-run cushion. Ortiz was a standout performer for the Brewers, finishing the day with three hits, two RBIs, and scoring two runs himself.

New York made a final push in the ninth inning, with Alvarez singling to left to bring Taylor home, cutting the score to 4-3. However, their rally fell short, and the Brewers closed out the game to secure the win. The victory for the Brewers, favored at approximately 57% implied probability pregame, saw the favorite emerge victorious in a hard-fought contest shaped by Milwaukee's decisive second-inning outburst and key contributions from their top hitters.

How the Prediction Fared

โœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-149, 57% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4โ€“3.

Player of the Game

Joey Ortiz
At the Plate
3 AB, 3 H, 2 RBI
Logan Henderson
On the Mound
5.0 IP, 9 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
NYM 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 80
MIL 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 โ€” 4 81

Turning Point

The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Milwaukee Brewers scored 3 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Logan Henderson W 5.0 5 2 2 0 9 3.05
Christian Scott L 3.2 4 3 3 3 6 3.13
Aaron Ashby 2.0 0 0 0 1 4 3.32
Huascar Brazoban 1.1 1 1 1 0 0 2.76
Abner Uribe 1.0 2 0 0 0 2 2.38
Trevor Megill S 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 3.00
A.J. Minter 1.0 1 0 0 1 1 1.71
Cionel Perez 0.2 2 0 0 0 1 5.50

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Joey Ortiz 3 3 0 2 2 1 0
Christian Yelich 5 2 0 2 0 0 0
A.J. Ewing 5 2 0 0 0 0 2
Brett Baty 2 1 1 1 1 0 0
Marcus Semien 3 1 1 1 1 1 0
Francisco Alvarez 4 1 0 1 0 0 3
Andrew Vaughn 3 1 0 0 1 1 1
Brice Turang 2 1 0 0 0 2 0
Jackson Chourio 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Bo Bichette 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Carson Benge 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Francisco Lindor 4 1 0 0 0 0 1

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