MLB Final Intelligence
New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers โ Recap
July 22, 2026 ยท American Family Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers, entering the contest as the clear favorite with a commanding 66-39 record against the New York Mets' 44-62 mark, delivered on pregame expectations in a tight 4-3 victory. While the Brewers ultimately came out on top, it was the Mets who drew first blood in the top of the second inning when Semien launched a 377-foot solo home run to left field, momentarily giving New York a 1-0 advantage.
However, the Brewers swiftly seized control in the bottom of the second, orchestrating a pivotal three-run rally that proved to be the game's turning point. Joey Ortiz ignited the offense with a crucial triple to right, driving in both Mitchell and Vaughn to put Milwaukee ahead 2-1. Yelich followed with a single to left, bringing Ortiz home and extending the Brewers' lead to 3-1. Brewers starter Logan Henderson was solid through this stretch, ultimately finishing with an impressive 5.0 innings pitched, allowing just 2 earned runs while striking out 9 batters.
The Mets attempted to chip away at the deficit, as Baty belted a 366-foot solo shot to right field in the top of the fifth, narrowing the score to 3-2. But Milwaukee responded in the bottom of the sixth when Yelich delivered another timely hit, a triple to right that scored Ortiz, pushing the lead back to 4-2 and re-establishing a crucial two-run cushion. Ortiz was a standout performer for the Brewers, finishing the day with three hits, two RBIs, and scoring two runs himself.
New York made a final push in the ninth inning, with Alvarez singling to left to bring Taylor home, cutting the score to 4-3. However, their rally fell short, and the Brewers closed out the game to secure the win. The victory for the Brewers, favored at approximately 57% implied probability pregame, saw the favorite emerge victorious in a hard-fought contest shaped by Milwaukee's decisive second-inning outburst and key contributions from their top hitters.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-149, 57% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the Milwaukee Brewers won 4โ3.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Milwaukee Brewers scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson W |
|
5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3.05 |
| Christian Scott L |
|
3.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3.13 |
| Aaron Ashby |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3.32 |
| Huascar Brazoban |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.76 |
| Abner Uribe |
|
1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.38 |
| Trevor Megill S |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.00 |
| A.J. Minter |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.71 |
| Cionel Perez |
|
0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.50 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ortiz |
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Christian Yelich |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Ewing |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brett Baty |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Semien |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Francisco Alvarez |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Vaughn |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brice Turang |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jackson Chourio |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bo Bichette |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Carson Benge |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Francisco Lindor |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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