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MLB Final Intelligence

BAL 79-82
3 – 6
FINAL
BOS 87-75

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox β€” Recap

July 22, 2026  Β· Fenway Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Boston Red Sox, entering Tuesday with a 54-50 record, lived up to their pre-game billing as favorites against the 51-55 Baltimore Orioles, securing a 6-3 victory largely on the strength of a dominant first inning. A decisive four-run outburst in the bottom of the first proved to be the turning point, providing the Red Sox with an early cushion they would maintain throughout the contest.

The Red Sox wasted no time asserting their control. In the opening frame, Durbin’s single to center brought home both Rafaela and Yoshida, quickly putting Boston up 2-0. The damage continued as Duran then tripled to right, clearing the bases by scoring Contreras and Durbin, extending the lead to a commanding 4-0. Baltimore managed to get on the board in the top of the third when O'Neill doubled to center, scoring Alonso. However, Boston immediately answered in the bottom of the inning, with Duran hitting a sacrifice fly to center that allowed Durbin to score, making it a 5-1 game.

The home run ball offered fleeting hope for the Orioles in the fourth inning. Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who would be Baltimore's top batter on the day, launched a 424-foot solo shot to center, narrowing the gap to 5-2. Yet again, the Red Sox had a quick response, as Rafaela connected for a 377-foot homer to left center, pushing the lead back to four runs at 6-2. Encarnacion-Strand continued his strong performance in the sixth, singling to left to score Mayo, bringing the Orioles to their final tally of 3 runs.

Red Sox starter Jake Bennett delivered a key performance, navigating 5.2 innings, striking out four, and surrendering three earned runs to secure the win after his offense built the significant early advantage. Despite Encarnacion-Strand's impressive showing for Baltimore, which included three hits, a home run, and two RBIs, the Orioles couldn't overcome Boston's initial onslaught. The Red Sox ultimately held on for the 6-3 win, confirming the pre-game market’s expectations.

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Boston Red Sox (-136, 55% implied) over the Baltimore Orioles. Final: the Boston Red Sox won 6–3.

Player of the Game

4 AB, 3 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Jake Bennett
On the Mound
5.2 IP, 4 K, 3 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
BAL 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 110
BOS 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 β€” 6 90

Turning Point

The game turned in the 1st inning, when the Boston Red Sox scored 4 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Dean Kremer L 6.0 8 6 6 1 5 5.06
Jake Bennett W 5.2 9 3 3 0 4 2.58
Anthony Nunez 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 4.57
Justin Slaten 1.1 1 0 0 0 1 5.11
Aroldis Chapman S 1.0 1 0 0 1 0 1.93
Garrett Whitlock 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1.95

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 4 3 1 2 1 0 0
Ceddanne Rafaela 4 2 1 1 2 0 0
Caleb Durbin 4 2 0 2 2 0 0
Jackson Holliday 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
Pete Alonso 5 2 0 0 1 0 0
Willson Contreras 4 2 0 0 1 0 1
Jarren Duran 3 1 0 3 0 0 1
Tyler O'Neill 4 1 0 1 0 0 2
Coby Mayo 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
Gunnar Henderson 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Taylor Ward 4 1 0 0 0 1 1
Masataka Yoshida 3 1 0 0 1 1 0
Romy Gonzalez 4 1 0 0 0 0 1

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