โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
BOS

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

July 22, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 3, BOS 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 65%
Projected Score BOS 6 ยท BAL 4
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.85 vs 5.46, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 7.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP road mastery (ERA 2.13 R vs 4.46 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Dean Kremer
Dean Kremer
ERA4.68
WHIP1.14
FIP4.75
K/98.6
K/BB5.7
Road ERA: 2.13
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Tyler O'Neill RF
  5. 5 Coby Mayo DH
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
  8. 8 Jackson Holliday 2B
  9. 9 Sam Huff C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Masataka Yoshida DH
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Caleb Durbin 3B
  6. 6 Romy Gonzalez 2B
  7. 7 Jarren Duran LF
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Tsung-Che Cheng SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.718
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 +3.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +2.5 (+169)
BOS -2.5 (-226)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+169)
Under 9.5 (-225)
Moneyline
BAL +1160
BOS -6300

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 1B
Total Bases
4.5
59 ยท UNDER
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
Total Bases
4.5
53 ยท UNDER
BOS โ€” Home
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
Tsung-Che Cheng Tsung-Che Cheng SS
Singles
0.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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