Minnesota Timberwolves 115, New Orleans Pelicans 109 — Recap

November 6, 2026 · Recap published November 6, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The New Orleans Pelicans opened the game by establishing an early edge, taking a 30-27 lead at the end of the first quarter. Jeremiah Fears paced the New Orleans offense by shooting 9-of-16 to finish with 24 points, five rebounds, and five assists, while Karlo Matkovic contributed 18 points on 7-of-13 shooting, including four made three-pointers.

Minnesota responded in the second quarter by outscoring New Orleans 30-21 to carry a six-point advantage into halftime. However, the Pelicans reclaimed the momentum in the third period, putting up 28 points to Minnesota's 20 and taking a two-point lead into the final frame.

Minnesota secured the 115-109 victory by dominating the fourth quarter 38-30. Ayo Dosunmu led the charge with 26 points, four assists, and four threes on 8-of-14 shooting. Jaden McDaniels added 23 points, six rebounds, and five assists with two threes, and LaMelo Ball chipped in 22 points, eight assists, and three threes on 7-of-15 shooting to complete the comeback.

#MinnesotaTimberwolves #NewOrleansPelicans #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Minnesota Timberwolves (73% confidence). It gave a 17% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 6 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · MIN -3.5 MIN covered Won by 6

Total · 230.5 Under 224 combined

Moneyline MIN -172 · NOP +144 MIN favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (NOP) +4.5+3.5 -1

Total 229.5230.5 +1

Moneyline (NOP) +142+144 +2

Standouts

Top Scorer · MIN

Ayo Dosunmu

26 PTS, 2 REB, 4 AST, 4 3PM · 8-14 FG

Scoring · NOP

Jeremiah Fears

24 PTS, 5 REB, 5 AST · 9-16 FG

Scoring · MIN

Jaden McDaniels

23 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST, 2 3PM · 8-19 FG

Season highs

Jeremiah Fears · Season-high 24 pointsTrey Lyles · Season-high 13 reboundsAyo Dosunmu · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIN 11 largest lead Q1 6:47 (MIN 18, NOP 7) · 9-0 run, Q2 5:04–Q2 2:41

NOP 7 largest lead Q3 4:35 (MIN 66, NOP 73) · 12-0 run, Q3 6:57–Q3 4:35

Swings 13 lead changes Tied 6 times

Ahead for good: LaMelo Ball makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jaden McDaniels assists) (Q4 6:37, MIN 92, NOP 89).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIN	27	30	20	38		115
NOP	30	21	28	30		109

🧮 How They Scored

MINNOP

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

50.0%Effective FG%51.2%

9.5%Turnover %11.8%

37.0%Offensive rebound %27.3%

0.420Free-throw rate0.302

Box Score

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jaden McDaniels F	40	23	6	5	1	2	2	8-19	2-7	5-5	+5
Ayo Dosunmu G	39	26	2	4	0	1	3	8-14	4-6	6-6	-2
LaMelo Ball G	35	22	2	8	0	0	3	7-15	3-8	5-5	+23
Jonathan Kuminga F	34	17	8	4	1	0	2	5-12	1-6	6-12	+14
Trey Lyles F	29	5	13	2	3	1	1	2-7	0-4	1-2	+1
Rudy Gobert C	25	8	11	0	0	1	0	4-5	0-0	0-2	+10
Jaylen Clark G	21	8	3	0	0	0	0	3-9	1-3	1-1	-7
Nah'Shon Hyland G	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-7	1-5	1-2	-10
Joan Beringer F	7	2	3	0	0	1	0	0-0	0-0	2-2	-4

New Orleans Pelicans

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jeremiah Fears G	36	24	5	5	2	0	2	9-16	0-1	6-7	-3
Zion Williamson F	36	13	8	4	2	0	0	5-10	0-0	3-4	-2
Dejounte Murray G	35	7	2	4	1	1	2	3-11	1-2	0-0	-7
Trey Murphy III F	34	10	4	5	2	1	2	3-7	1-5	3-3	-1
Saddiq Bey F	31	17	5	4	0	1	1	5-13	3-6	4-4	0
Trendon Watford F	19	12	6	1	0	1	0	4-7	1-1	3-4	+2
Karlo Matkovic F-C	18	18	3	1	0	0	2	7-13	4-8	0-0	-6
Herbert Jones F	14	0	4	0	0	0	0	0-3	0-1	0-0	-4
Derik Queen C	11	6	4	1	0	0	4	2-4	0-0	2-4	-2
Bennedict Mathurin G-F	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	-7

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Ayo Dosunmu MIN	Points	18.5	26	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	2	Under
	Assists	4.5	4	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	4	Over
	Reb + Ast	9.5	6	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	28.5	32	Over
Jeremiah Fears NOP	Points	13.5	24	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	5	Over
	Assists	3.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	0	Under
	Pts + Reb	17.5	29	Over
	Reb + Ast	7.5	10	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	20.5	34	Over
Jaden McDaniels MIN	Points	17.5	23	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	6	Over
	Assists	3.5	5	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	11	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	34	Over
LaMelo Ball MIN	Points	21.5	22	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	2	Under
	Assists	6.5	8	Over
	3-pointers	3.5	3	Under
	Reb + Ast	11.5	10	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	33.5	32	Under
Karlo Matkovic NOP	Points	6.5	18	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	3	Under
Saddiq Bey NOP	Points	12.5	17	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	5	Over
	Assists	1.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	16.5	22	Over
	Reb + Ast	5.5	9	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	17.5	26	Over