NBA Final Intelligence

NOP 4-5
123 – 139
FINAL
LAC 1-7

New Orleans Pelicans 123, LA Clippers 139 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The LA Clippers defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 139-123, backed by SportsFBI's pregame model assigning a 69% probability to the outcome. The opening quarter provided little separation as both teams locked into a 28-28 deadlock. LA began to assert itself in the second period, outscoring New Orleans 39-32 to claim a seven-point halftime advantage.

Offensive output remained even through the third quarter as both squads traded baskets in a 35-35 stalemate. The Clippers pulled away for good in the final frame, using a 37-28 scoring edge to close out the 16-point victory.

LA's offense was orchestrated by Darius Garland, who finished with 24 points and 10 assists while hitting 3-of-11 from deep, alongside Brook Lopez's 20 points and 7 rebounds on 8-of-11 shooting. New Orleans countered with strong individual efforts, led by Trey Murphy III with 26 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, and 4 threes on 9-of-17 shooting. Jeremiah Fears added 25 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists, and 3 threes on 10-of-14 shooting, while Zion Williamson shot a perfect 9-of-9 from the field to contribute 25 points and 4 rebounds.

#Clippers #Pelicans #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the LA Clippers (69% confidence). It gave a 15% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 16 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · NOP -1.5 LAC covered Won by 16
Total · 226.5 Over 262 combined
Moneyline NOP -120 · LAC +102 NOP favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (LAC) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 232.5226.5 -6
Moneyline (LAC) -104+102 +206

Standouts

Top Scorer · NOP
26 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST, 4 3PM · 9-17 FG
Scoring · NOP
25 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST, 3 3PM · 10-14 FG
Scoring · NOP
25 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST · 9-9 FG
Season highs
Jeremiah Fears · Season-high 25 points

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

NOP 4 largest lead Q3 6:04 (NOP 83, LAC 79) · 7-0 run, Q2 3:03–Q2 2:01
LAC 20 largest lead Q4 1:59 (NOP 115, LAC 135) · 9-0 run, Q2 6:51–Q2 5:39
Swings 13 lead changes Tied 7 times

Ahead for good: Kobe Sanders makes 27-foot three point jumper (Baba Miller assists) (Q3 2:23, NOP 93, LAC 94).

Linescore

1234 T
NOP 28323528 123
LAC 28393537 139

🧮 How They Scored

NOPLAC
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
56.8%Effective FG%64.3%
14.2%Turnover %9.8%
30.3%Offensive rebound %34.2%
0.432Free-throw rate0.452

Box Score

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Zion Williamson F 3125420029-90-07-90
Trey Murphy III F 3026731039-174-94-4-10
Jeremiah Fears G 29256520210-143-52-4-1
Dejounte Murray G 286330011-60-14-4+4
Saddiq Bey F 2613431013-121-66-6-19
Derik Queen C 218531141-50-06-6-14
Herbert Jones F 204010012-60-20-0-23
Karlo Matkovic F-C 193320111-21-20-0-2
Trendon Watford F 175300002-41-20-0-16
Bennedict Mathurin G-F 96011002-50-22-2-5
AJ Johnson G 32000001-10-00-0+2
Bryce McGowens G 30000010-00-00-0+2
Julian Reese F 30000000-00-00-0+2

LA Clippers

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Darius Garland G 32240101026-113-79-12+2
Derrick Jones Jr. F-G 298430012-50-14-6+4
Brook Lopez C 2620710008-111-23-4+9
Rui Hachimura F 2614321006-132-60-0+2
Kris Dunn G 2414541014-72-34-4+2
Kobe Sanders G 228240033-92-70-0+15
Baba Miller F 2012542213-90-26-6+7
Max Strus G 197420003-61-40-0+17
Keaton Wagler G 1815241024-53-44-4+11
Gradey Dick G 1715402006-72-21-2+17
Nick Martinelli F 32000001-10-00-0-2
Cam Christie G 30000000-00-00-0-2
Jalen Pickett G 30000010-00-00-0-2

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series NOP 0 – 1 LAC
Last 23 meetings · since 2020-21 NOP 15 – 8 LAC
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
New Orleans Pelicans 4-6 L2 L10 4-6 Next game: @ GSW · Mon, Nov 9
LA Clippers 2-7 W1 L10 2-7 Next game: @ PHX · Tue, Nov 10

🔍 Key Suspects Results

2 of 4 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

NOP — Away
Karlo Matkovic Karlo Matkovic F-C Points 7.5 OVER MISS Actual 3
LAC — Home
Max Strus Max Strus G Assists 2.5 OVER MISS Actual 2
Brook Lopez Brook Lopez C Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Kobe Sanders Kobe Sanders G Points 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 8

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