NBA Final Intelligence
Portland Trail Blazers 112, Utah Jazz 90 โ Recap
ยท Recap published ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Portland Trail Blazers established control early against the Utah Jazz, building a lead that held firm for a 112-90 victory. Portland opened the game with a 27-18 advantage in the first quarter, fueled by strong performances from Deni Avdija, who recorded 24 points, 5 rebounds, and 2 assists, and Damian Lillard, who added 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. Darryn Peterson led the Jazz offense, contributing 16 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists by game's end.
Portland continued to extend its lead in the second quarter, outscoring Utah 32-24 to take a significant cushion into halftime. Jrue Holiday provided efficient offense for the Trail Blazers, tallying 14 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists on 4-of-6 shooting, while Toumani Camara added 14 points, including four successful three-pointers. These contributions ensured Portland's offensive rhythm remained strong.
The Trail Blazers further cemented their dominance in the third quarter, again outscoring the Jazz 29-22 and entering the final period with a commanding lead. Although Utah managed to edge Portland 26-24 in the fourth quarter, the earlier deficit proved insurmountable. The outcome aligned with SportsFBI's pregame model, which had leaned towards a Portland win at 62%.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Portland Trail Blazers (62% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 22 points.
๐ต Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
๐ Game Flow
Ahead for good: Deni Avdija makes free throw 2 of 2 (Q1 7:42, POR 8, UTA 7).
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 27 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 112 | |
| UTA | 18 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 90 |
๐งฎ How They Scored
๐ฏ Shot Chart
- 62%Restricted Area8 of 13
- 36%Paint (non-RA)5 of 14
- 40%Mid-Range2 of 5
- 0%Left Corner 30 of 3
- 29%Right Corner 32 of 7
- 41%Above-break 314 of 34
- 83%Restricted Area5 of 6
- 47%Paint (non-RA)9 of 19
- 31%Mid-Range4 of 13
- 20%Left Corner 31 of 5
- 0%Right Corner 30 of 4
- 32%Above-break 310 of 31
โ made ยท โ missed, from the official shot log.
Box Score
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | -5 |
| Toumani Camara F | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | +26 |
| Deni Avdija F | 30 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 10-13 | +32 |
| Damian Lillard G | 27 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 7-8 | +21 |
| Vit Krejci G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | +1 |
| Jrue Holiday G | 22 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | +7 |
| Sidy Cissoko G | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | +6 |
| Donovan Clingan C | 15 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +20 |
| Robert Williams III C-F | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | +7 |
| Hansen Yang C | 13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Chris Youngblood G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Micah Potter F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 |
| Branden Carlson C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airious Bailey F | 37 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | -16 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | -8 |
| Lauri Markkanen F | 29 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 5-6 | -17 |
| Keyonte George G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | -10 |
| Jaxson Hayes C | 20 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | -15 |
| Isaiah Collier G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | -21 |
| Brice Sensabaugh F | 19 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | +2 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | -10 |
| Josh Okogie G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -7 |
| Mo Bamba C | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | -7 |
| Kyle Filipowski C | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Josh Green G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -1 |
๐ฌ Advanced Stats
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | Starter | 30:11 | 24 | 67.7 | 29.2 | +48.5 | 23.4 |
| Damian Lillard | Starter | 26:36 | 22 | 53.6 | 35.7 | +32.7 | 19.4 |
| Scoot Henderson | Starter | 30:59 | 14 | 51.3 | 23.4 | -7.1 | 6.1 |
| Toumani Camara | Starter | 30:48 | 14 | 70.9 | 14.7 | +38.2 | 12.5 |
| Donovan Clingan | Starter | 14:42 | 4 | 51.5 | 11.1 | +67.6 | 15.0 |
| Jrue Holiday | Bench | 22:15 | 14 | 90.2 | 16.7 | +14.0 | 20.5 |
| Hansen Yang | Bench | 13:14 | 6 | 60.0 | 19.4 | -7.5 | 17.8 |
| Vit Krejci | Bench | 23:55 | 5 | 41.7 | 10.7 | -0.1 | 6.9 |
| Robert Williams III | Bench | 14:09 | 3 | 52.1 | 12.5 | +22.6 | 8.8 |
| Chris Youngblood | Bench | 6:31 | 3 | 37.5 | 26.7 | -6.8 | -7.3 |
| Micah Potter | Bench | 3:49 | 2 | 113.6 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 17.9 |
| Sidy Cissoko | Bench | 19:03 | 1 | 56.8 | 4.4 | +16.1 | 1.4 |
| Branden Carlson | Bench | 3:49 | 0 | 0.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 10.7 |
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryn Peterson | Starter | 35:57 | 16 | 50.4 | 21.3 | -9.0 | 6.9 |
| Lauri Markkanen | Starter | 28:49 | 13 | 39.1 | 25.0 | -27.5 | 3.3 |
| Airious Bailey | Starter | 36:38 | 9 | 45.0 | 14.9 | -20.5 | 9.1 |
| Keyonte George | Starter | 28:42 | 8 | 34.0 | 21.7 | -15.1 | 2.8 |
| Jaxson Hayes | Starter | 20:12 | 7 | 40.0 | 23.1 | -35.6 | 7.6 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | Bench | 19:03 | 12 | 68.5 | 23.3 | +5.0 | 13.9 |
| Isaiah Collier | Bench | 20:08 | 8 | 59.2 | 23.8 | -48.0 | 11.9 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | Bench | 18:00 | 6 | 60.0 | 11.1 | -26.9 | 4.5 |
| Mo Bamba | Bench | 10:30 | 6 | 104.2 | 12.0 | -37.9 | 40.4 |
| Kyle Filipowski | Bench | 6:21 | 5 | 125.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 26.4 |
| Tony Bradley | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Okogie | Bench | 13:32 | 0 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -22.6 | -6.6 |
| Josh Green | Bench | 2:08 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 |
๐๏ธ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija POR | Points | 24.5 | 24 | Under |
| Rebounds | 7.5 | 5 | Under | |
| Assists | 6.5 | 2 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 14.5 | 7 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 39.5 | 31 | Under | |
| Damian Lillard POR | Points | 23.5 | 22 | Under |
| Rebounds | 3.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Assists | 5.5 | 4 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 3.5 | 3 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb | 27.5 | 27 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 9.5 | 9 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 32.5 | 31 | Under | |
| Darryn Peterson UTA | Points | 14.5 | 16 | Over |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Assists | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb | 18.5 | 20 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 7.5 | 8 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 21.5 | 24 | Over | |
| Jrue Holiday POR | Points | 14.5 | 14 | Under |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Assists | 4.5 | 3 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 9.5 | 7 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 24.5 | 21 | Under | |
| Scoot Henderson POR | Points | 13.5 | 14 | Over |
| Rebounds | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Assists | 3.5 | 1 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 6.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 20.5 | 18 | Under | |
| Toumani Camara POR | Points | 12.5 | 14 | Over |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Assists | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb | 17.5 | 18 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 6.5 | 4 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 19.5 | 18 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
โ๏ธ Season Series & What's Next
- UTA 114@POR 124 Recap
- POR 135@UTA 119 Recap
- UTA 117@POR 137 Recap
- POR 136@UTA 134 Recap
- POR 126@UTA 133 Recap
๐ Key Suspects
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