NBA Final Intelligence

SAS 6-2
124 โ€“ 109
FINAL
SAC 1-7

San Antonio Spurs 124, Sacramento Kings 109 โ€” Recap

 ยท Recap published  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

Victor Wembanyama dominated with 30 points and 14 rebounds to lead the San Antonio Spurs to a 124-109 victory over the Sacramento Kings. San Antonio asserted control immediately in the opening quarter, outscoring Sacramento 38-29 behind an aggressive offensive tempo. The Spurs extended their advantage further in the second period by putting up 37 points while holding the Kings to 27, building a comfortable cushion by halftime.

Coming out of the break, both offenses found a balanced rhythm as the third quarter ended even at 24-24, keeping the double-digit margin intact. Sacramento attempted a late push by taking the final frame 29-25, but the early deficit proved too steep to overcome. SportsFBI's pregame model had listed San Antonio at a 76% win probability, a projection the Spurs validated wire-to-wire.

San Antonio's balanced attack featured four other significant contributors supporting Wembanyama's inside-out game of four three-pointers and 10-of-18 shooting. Stephon Castle chipped in 19 points and seven assists, Devin Vassell added 19 points with five makes from beyond the arc, and Dylan Harper contributed 19 points and three assists. Darius Acuff Jr. paced Sacramento with 22 points and eight assists alongside three triples on 9-of-20 shooting, but the Kings could not slow down San Antonio's high-scoring output.

#GoSpursGo #SacramentoKings #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

โœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the San Antonio Spurs (76% confidence). It gave a 19% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 15 points.

๐Ÿ’ต Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread ยท SAS -17.5 SAC covered Won by 15
Total ยท 231.5 Over 233 combined
Moneyline SAS -1500 ยท SAC +870 SAS favored
Line movementOpening line โ†’ close
Spread (SAC) +15.5+17.5 +2
Total 228.5231.5 +3
Moneyline (SAC) +730+870 +140

Standouts

Top Scorer ยท SAS
30 PTS, 14 REB, 2 AST, 4 3PM ยท 10-18 FG
Scoring ยท SAC
22 PTS, 3 REB, 8 AST, 3 3PM ยท 9-20 FG
Scoring ยท SAS
19 PTS, 3 REB, 7 AST, 1 3PM ยท 7-13 FG
Season highs
Devin Vassell ยท Season-high 5 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

๐Ÿ“Š Game Flow

SAS 24 largest lead Q4 8:15 (SAS 112, SAC 88) ยท 10-0 run, Q4 9:52โ€“Q4 8:15
SAC 3 largest lead Q1 10:45 (SAS 2, SAC 5) ยท 8-0 run, Q3 6:06โ€“Q3 4:13
Swings 10 lead changes Tied 5 times

Ahead for good: Julian Champagnie makes 26-foot three point jumper (Keldon Johnson assists) (Q1 4:26, SAS 24, SAC 22).

Linescore

1234 T
SAS 38372425 124
SAC 29272429 109

๐Ÿงฎ How They Scored

SASSAC
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
57.6%Effective FG%58.5%
10.1%Turnover %10.9%
31.0%Offensive rebound %17.5%
0.532Free-throw rate0.232

Box Score

San Antonio Spurs

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Dylan Harper G 2819230015-101-28-9+22
Stephon Castle G 2819370017-131-34-5-2
Keldon Johnson F 273660021-30-01-3+27
Devin Vassell G-F 2719221106-105-62-2+5
Victor Wembanyama F-C 263014202310-184-66-9+31
De'Aaron Fox G 269241122-60-25-6+13
Julian Champagnie F 228720013-52-40-0+12
Harrison Barnes F 1913101004-72-53-4+4
Luke Kornet F-C 182610000-20-02-2-10
Jordan McLaughlin G 82212010-20-02-2-9
David Jones F 30000000-20-10-0-6
Carter Bryant F 30000000-10-10-0-6
Tarris Reed Jr. C 30100000-00-00-0-6

Sacramento Kings

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Leaky Black F 4012352004-74-70-0-1
Zach LaVine G 3514431004-121-65-5-26
Darius Acuff Jr. G 3422382029-203-91-2-11
Domantas Sabonis F 31171250048-121-20-1-22
Emanuel Sharp G 319500013-73-40-0-3
Precious Achiuwa F 229400204-101-20-0-13
Malik Monk G 1812070023-62-44-4-9
Dylan Cardwell C 169231313-60-03-7+7
Alex Karaban F 110100000-00-00-0-2
Nique Clifford G 55220012-21-10-0+5

๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Victor Wembanyama SAS Points28.530 Over
Rebounds11.514 Over
Assists2.52 Under
3-pointers1.54 Over
Reb + Ast14.516 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast43.546 Over
Blocks3.52 Under
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC Points24.522 Under
Rebounds3.53 Under
Assists5.58 Over
3-pointers2.53 Over
Reb + Ast9.511 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast33.533 Under
Devin Vassell SAS Points11.519 Over
Rebounds4.52 Under
Assists2.52 Under
3-pointers1.55 Over
Reb + Ast6.54 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast19.523 Over
Stephon Castle SAS Points16.519 Over
Rebounds5.53 Under
Assists5.57 Over
3-pointers1.51 Under
Reb + Ast11.510 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast28.529 Over
Dylan Harper SAS Points16.519 Over
Rebounds5.52 Under
Assists4.53 Under
3-pointers1.51 Under
Pts + Reb22.521 Under
Reb + Ast10.55 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast27.524 Under
Domantas Sabonis SAC Points13.517 Over
Rebounds12.512 Under
Assists5.55 Under
Pts + Reb26.529 Over
Reb + Ast18.517 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast32.534 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

โš”๏ธ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series SAS 2 โ€“ 0 SAC
Last 22 meetings ยท since 2020-21 SAS 11 โ€“ 11 SAC
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
San Antonio Spurs 7-2 W7 L10 7-2 Next game: @ POR ยท Sat, Nov 7
Sacramento Kings 1-8 L2 L10 1-8 Next game: vs MIA ยท Sun, Nov 8

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Results

4 of 4 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

SAS — Away
Julian Champagnie Julian Champagnie F Pts+Reb 13.5 OVER HIT Actual 15
Keldon Johnson Keldon Johnson F Rebounds 4 HIT Actual 6
SAC — Home
Domantas Sabonis Domantas Sabonis F Rebounds 12 HIT Actual 12
Dylan Cardwell Dylan Cardwell C Points 4.5 OVER HIT Actual 9

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