NHL Final Intelligence
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Dallas Stars 3 — Recap
· American Airlines Center · Recap published · View Preview
Game Recap
Dallas secured an early advantage and maintained control to defeat Columbus 3-1. The Stars established a two-goal lead in the opening period, beginning with Mikko Rantanen's goal at 2:16, assisted by Wyatt Johnston and Jason Robertson. Thomas Harley extended the lead to 2-0 for Dallas just before the period concluded, scoring with 19 seconds remaining on assists from Arttu Hyry and Miro Heiskanen. The SportsFBI model had favored Dallas at 63% probability for the win.
Despite Columbus generating more shots on goal throughout the game, Dallas's early cushion held firm. The second period saw no scoring from either team, with Dallas maintaining its 2-0 lead. Jake Oettinger for Dallas stopped 25 of 26 shots faced, proving crucial as the Blue Jackets outshot the Stars 26-17 overall. Jet Greaves of Columbus made 14 saves on 16 shots.
Columbus attempted a rally in the third period when Damon Severson scored at 6:21, assisted by Zach Werenski and Kent Johnson, cutting the deficit to 2-1. However, Dallas prevented any further scoring, sealing the 3-1 victory. Following the game, Dallas moved to a 7-5-1 record, while Columbus's record stands at 5-6-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Dallas Stars (-185, 65% implied) over the Columbus Blue Jackets.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Dallas Stars (63% confidence). It gave a 30% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 2:16 Mikko Rantanen (Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson) DAL · Power play · snap shot · CBJ 0, DAL 1
- P1 19:59 Thomas Harley (Arttu Hyry, Miro Heiskanen) DAL · snap shot · CBJ 0, DAL 2
- P3 6:21 Damon Severson (Zach Werenski, Kent Johnson) CBJ · snap shot · CBJ 1, DAL 2
- P3 19:59 Arttu Hyry (Jamie Benn, Miro Heiskanen) DAL · Empty net · snap shot · CBJ 1, DAL 3
Biggest Period
The Dallas Stars scored 2 goals in P1 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
| DAL | 9 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 1Goals3% of attempts
- 24Saved67% of attempts
- 11Missed the net31% of attempts
- 3Goals12% of attempts
- 14Saved54% of attempts
- 9Missed the net35% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Severson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 |
| Zach Werenski | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28:01 |
| Kent Johnson | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:18 |
| Adam Fantilli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24:54 |
| Charlie Coyle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23:57 |
| Denton Mateychuk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:21 |
| Ivan Provorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:31 |
| Matthew Knies | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:29 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17:26 |
| Cole Sillinger | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 15:44 |
| Sean Monahan | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15:20 |
| Conor Garland | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14:14 |
| Dante Fabbro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 |
| Mathieu Olivier | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:04 |
| Danton Heinen | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 |
| Jake Christiansen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:03 |
| Ryan Lomberg | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 08:40 |
| Erik Gudbranson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 04:34 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | L | 14 | 16 | 87.5 | 2 | 58:26 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arttu Hyry | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:23 |
| Miro Heiskanen | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:12 |
| Thomas Harley | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:49 |
| Mikko Rantanen | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| Wyatt Johnston | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 |
| Jason Robertson | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:38 |
| Jamie Benn | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:45 |
| Esa Lindell | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:29 |
| Nils Lundkvist | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20:29 |
| Sam Steel | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 |
| Roope Hintz | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| Tyler Seguin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 |
| Lian Bichsel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 |
| Justin Hryckowian | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:29 |
| Tyler Myers | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 |
| David Perron | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 |
| Colin Blackwell | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:18 |
| Joel Kiviranta | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 09:06 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | W | 24 | 25 | 96.0 | 1 | 60:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen DAL | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Arttu Hyry DAL | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Mikko Rantanen DAL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Damon Severson CBJ | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Thomas Harley DAL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Jason Robertson DAL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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