NHL Final Intelligence
Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Minnesota Wild defeated the Utah Mammoth 3-1, with a dominant performance in the latter half of the game after a scoreless opening period. Minnesota's offense, spearheaded by Kirill Kaprizov and Quinn Hughes, found its rhythm in the second and third frames to establish a lead the Mammoth could not overcome.
Joel Eriksson Ek broke the deadlock for Minnesota at 15:04 of the second period, scoring with assists from Quinn Hughes and Kirill Kaprizov to make it 1-0. Early in the third, at 00:48, Kaprizov extended the Wild's lead to 2-0 with help from Matt Boldy and Quinn Hughes. Maxim Shabanov further solidified Minnesota's advantage, pushing the score to 3-0 at 11:44 of the final period. Jesper Wallstedt made 26 saves on 27 shots for Minnesota, while Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 30 shots for Utah. The outcome went against the SportsFBI pregame model, which had leaned toward a 52% chance for Utah.
Utah managed to get on the board late in the third period when Logan Cooley scored at 18:39, assisted by Nick Schmaltz and Mikhail Sergachev, to narrow the deficit to 3-1. Kirill Kaprizov finished the night with a goal and an assist, and Quinn Hughes contributed two assists for the Wild. Logan Cooley was the sole goal-scorer for the Mammoth. Following the contest, Minnesota's record improved to 8-3-2, while Utah's dropped to 8-4-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-118, 54% implied) over the Minnesota Wild. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Utah Mammoth (52% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P2 15:04 Joel Eriksson Ek (Quinn Hughes, Kirill Kaprizov) MIN · Power play · snap shot · MIN 1, UTA 0
- P3 0:48 Kirill Kaprizov (Matt Boldy, Quinn Hughes) MIN · Power play · wrist shot · MIN 2, UTA 0
- P3 11:44 Maxim Shabanov MIN · snap shot · MIN 3, UTA 0
- P3 18:39 Logan Cooley (Nick Schmaltz, Mikhail Sergachev) UTA · Power play · wrist shot · MIN 3, UTA 1
Biggest Period
The Minnesota Wild scored 2 goals in P3 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 12 | 12 | 7 | 31 |
| UTA | 5 | 4 | 18 | 27 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 3Goals7% of attempts
- 28Saved64% of attempts
- 13Missed the net30% of attempts
- 1Goals2% of attempts
- 26Saved60% of attempts
- 16Missed the net37% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24:36 |
| Quinn Hughes | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29:54 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21:21 |
| Maxim Shabanov | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 |
| Matt Boldy | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22:04 |
| Olli Maatta | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:25 |
| Jonas Brodin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23:21 |
| Blake Coleman | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:29 |
| Zach Bogosian | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14:46 |
| Danila Yurov | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13:31 |
| Ryan Hartman | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:59 |
| Michael McCarron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:49 |
| Yakov Trenin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12:45 |
| Bobby Brink | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 |
| Nico Sturm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:15 |
| Jared Spurgeon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 |
| Matt Kiersted | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 09:42 |
| Tyler Pitlick | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 06:43 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | W | 26 | 27 | 96.3 | 1 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:39 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:10 |
| Nick Schmaltz | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 22:06 |
| Clayton Keller | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21:50 |
| Dylan Guenther | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20:46 |
| Andrew Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19:35 |
| Nate Schmidt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:27 |
| Vincent Trocheck | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:25 |
| Dmitri Simashev | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 |
| Nick DeSimone | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:45 |
| Barrett Hayton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 |
| Kevin Stenlund | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 |
| Lawson Crouse | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:47 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 |
| Anders Lee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 |
| Jack McBain | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10:52 |
| Liam O'Brien | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 07:09 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | L | 28 | 31 | 90.3 | 3 | 57:22 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov MIN | Points | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Quinn Hughes MIN | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Logan Cooley UTA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek MIN | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Nick Schmaltz UTA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Mikhail Sergachev UTA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
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