NHL Final Intelligence
Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6 (OT) — Recap
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Game Recap
Los Angeles Kings overcame a substantial third-period comeback by the Ottawa Senators to secure a 6-5 overtime victory. The Kings outshot the Senators 38-23, setting the stage for a dominant second period after an even start. Tyler Kleven opened the scoring for Ottawa at 11:24 of the first period, assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Tim Stützle. Erik Haula, with assists from Brandt Clarke and Drew Doughty, tied the game for Los Angeles at 15:09, ending the first period 1-1.
Los Angeles then took control in the second period, scoring four unanswered goals. Trevor Moore put the Kings ahead at 6:51, assisted by Quinton Byfield and Drew Doughty. Mikey Anderson extended the lead to 3-1 at 10:17, assisted by Brian Dumoulin, followed by Joel Armia's unassisted goal at 10:54. Artemi Panarin netted another goal at 15:43, pushing the Kings' lead to 5-1. During this scoring surge, Ottawa's Jonas Johansson made 12 saves on 16 shots before Samuel Ersson entered the game, eventually making 20 saves on 21 shots.
The Senators staged a remarkable comeback in the third period, scoring four goals to force overtime. Dylan Cozens sparked the rally at 7:18, assisted by Tim Stützle and Nikolas Matinpalo, then Drake Batherson narrowed the deficit further at 7:51 with an assist from Jake Sanderson. Cozens scored his second goal of the period at 12:34, assisted by Stützle and Batherson, bringing Ottawa within one. Shane Pinto completed the improbable comeback, tying the game 5-5 at 18:20 with assists from Batherson and Cozens. In overtime, Quinton Byfield sealed the victory for Los Angeles at 3:37, assisted by Drew Doughty and Artemi Panarin. Cozens (2 G, 1 A), Batherson (1 G, 2 A), and Stützle (3 A) led Ottawa's offense, while Doughty recorded three assists for the Kings. Los Angeles now holds a 3-6-2 record, while Ottawa stands at 8-5-0. SportsFBI's pregame model, which leaned Ottawa at 55%, did not accurately predict the outcome.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Ottawa Senators (-122, 55% implied) over the Los Angeles Kings. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Ottawa Senators (55% confidence). It gave a 28% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 11:24 Tyler Kleven (Fabian Zetterlund, Tim Stützle) OTT · backhand shot · OTT 1, LAK 0
- P1 15:09 Erik Haula (Brandt Clarke, Drew Doughty) LAK · Power play · tip-in shot · OTT 1, LAK 1
- P2 6:51 Trevor Moore (Quinton Byfield, Drew Doughty) LAK · tip-in shot · OTT 1, LAK 2
- P2 10:17 Mikey Anderson (Brian Dumoulin) LAK · slap shot · OTT 1, LAK 3
- P2 10:54 Joel Armia LAK · wrist shot · OTT 1, LAK 4
- P2 15:43 Artemi Panarin LAK · Power play · snap shot · OTT 1, LAK 5
- P3 7:18 Dylan Cozens (Tim Stützle, Nikolas Matinpalo) OTT · wrist shot · OTT 2, LAK 5
- P3 7:51 Drake Batherson (Jake Sanderson) OTT · snap shot · OTT 3, LAK 5
- P3 12:34 Dylan Cozens (Tim Stützle, Drake Batherson) OTT · Power play · poke shot · OTT 4, LAK 5
- P3 18:20 Shane Pinto (Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens) OTT · Power play · tip-in shot · OTT 5, LAK 5
- OT 3:37 Quinton Byfield (Drew Doughty, Artemi Panarin) LAK · snap shot · OTT 5, LAK 6
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 9 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 22 |
| LAK | 10 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 38 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 5Goals15% of attempts
- 17Saved50% of attempts
- 12Missed the net35% of attempts
- 6Goals12% of attempts
- 32Saved62% of attempts
- 14Missed the net27% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cozens | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17:30 |
| Drake Batherson | R | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| Tim Stützle | C | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22:21 |
| Shane Pinto | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21:59 |
| Tyler Kleven | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14:42 |
| Jake Sanderson | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:25 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 |
| Thomas Chabot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22:37 |
| Artem Zub | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21:00 |
| Jordan Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19:55 |
| Ridly Greig | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19:22 |
| Michael Amadio | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18:19 |
| Claude Giroux | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:22 |
| Stephen Halliday | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 |
| Nick Cousins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 08:30 |
| Andre Burakovsky | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 04:54 |
| Hayden Hodgson | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 04:44 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | — | 12 | 16 | 75.0 | 4 | 30:54 |
| Samuel Ersson | O | 20 | 22 | 90.9 | 2 | 32:31 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty | D | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 |
| Artemi Panarin | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24:07 |
| Quinton Byfield | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20:33 |
| Trevor Moore | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 |
| Mikey Anderson | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:44 |
| Erik Haula | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:41 |
| Joel Armia | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:28 |
| Brian Dumoulin | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21:01 |
| Brandt Clarke | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| Erik Gustafsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:42 |
| Alex Laferriere | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:18 |
| Adrian Kempe | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 |
| Corey Perry | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17:59 |
| Joel Edmundson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 |
| Scott Laughton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:45 |
| Andre Lee | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 09:50 |
| Taylor Ward | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 05:35 |
| Samuel Helenius | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 05:16 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | W | 17 | 22 | 77.3 | 5 | 62:56 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cozens OTT | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Tim Stützle OTT | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Drake Batherson OTT | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Quinton Byfield LAK | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Artemi Panarin LAK | Points | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 7 | Over | |
| Shane Pinto OTT | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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