NHL Final Intelligence

WPG 4-3-2
2 – 3
FINAL/OT
DAL 5-3-1

Winnipeg Jets 2, Dallas Stars 3 (OT) — Recap

 · American Airlines Center  · Recap published  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Dallas Stars defeated the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime on Friday night, with Roope Hintz scoring the decisive goal. The Stars outshot the Jets 38-19, a difference that largely dictated the game's unfolding. Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen, and Jason Robertson each contributed two points for Dallas in the comeback victory.

Dallas initially broke the scoreless tie at 1:17 of the second period when Wyatt Johnston, assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson, put the Stars ahead 1-0. Winnipeg responded to even the score at 10:50 of the second, with Gabriel Vilardi scoring from Dylan Samberg and Alex Iafallo. Less than two minutes later, Kyle Connor, assisted by Neal Pionk, gave the Jets a 2-1 lead at 12:38.

The Stars pressed in the third period to force overtime. Roope Hintz, with assists from Mikko Rantanen and Wyatt Johnston, tied the game 2-2 at 18:00. In the extra session, Hintz struck again at 3:47, assisted by Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson, to secure the 3-2 victory.

Dallas goaltender Jake Oettinger earned the win, stopping 17 of 19 shots. For Winnipeg, Stuart Skinner made 35 saves on 38 shots. SportsFBI's model had leaned towards a Dallas victory at 67% probability. Following the game, Dallas improved its record to 5-3-1, while Winnipeg's record moved to 4-3-2.

#DallasStars #WinnipegJets #NHLRecap #OvertimeWinner #RoopeHintz

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Dallas Stars (-198, 66% implied) over the Winnipeg Jets.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Dallas Stars (67% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · DAL -1.5 WPG covered Won by 1
Total · 5.5 Under 5 combined
Moneyline WPG +164 · DAL -200 DAL favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (DAL) -1.5-1.5 No move
Total 5.55.5 No move
Moneyline (DAL) -205-200 +5

Standouts

Top Scorer · DAL
Roope Hintz
2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 5 SOG · 15:20 TOI
Goals · DAL
Wyatt Johnston
1 G, 1 A, 2 PTS, 4 SOG · 19:55 TOI
Goaltending · DAL
Jake Oettinger
17 saves on 19 shots (.895) · W
Season highs
Stuart Skinner · Season-high 35 savesRoope Hintz · Season-high 2 goals

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

WPG 1 largest lead P2 12:38 (WPG 2, DAL 1) · 2-0 run, P2 10:50–P2 12:38
DAL 1 largest lead P2 1:17 (WPG 0, DAL 1) · 2-0 run, P3 18:00–OT 3:47
Swings 2 lead changes Tied 2 times
Scoring summary
  • P2 1:17 Wyatt Johnston (Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson) DAL · Power play · snap shot · WPG 0, DAL 1
  • P2 10:50 Gabriel Vilardi (Dylan Samberg, Alex Iafallo) WPG · snap shot · WPG 1, DAL 1
  • P2 12:38 Kyle Connor (Neal Pionk) WPG · slap shot · WPG 2, DAL 1
  • P3 18:00 Roope Hintz (Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston) DAL · Power play · snap shot · WPG 2, DAL 2
  • OT 3:47 Roope Hintz (Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson) DAL · snap shot · WPG 2, DAL 3

Linescore

123OT T
WPG 0200 2
DAL 0111 3

Shots on goal: WPG 19, DAL 38

Biggest Period

The Winnipeg Jets scored 2 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

WPGDAL
19Shots on goal38
36Shot attempts65
25Faceoff wins40
24Hits15
7Blocked shots14
0Power-play goals0
6Takeaways5
10Giveaways12
6Penalty minutes10
92.1%Save %89.5%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
WPG684119
DAL121411138

🎯 Shot Map

Winnipeg Jets2 G · 27 attempts
Mark Scheifele: missed the netKyle Connor: missed the netNeal Pionk: saved (slap)Isak Rosen: saved (snap)Kyle Connor: saved (backhand)Brad Lambert: saved (snap)Dylan DeMelo: saved (wrist)Mark Scheifele: saved (wrist)Haydn Fleury: missed the netNino Niederreiter: missed the netMario Ferraro: saved (snap)Mark Scheifele: saved (snap)Brayden Yager: saved (snap)Dylan Samberg: saved (wrist)Gabriel Vilardi: goal (snap)Neal Pionk: missed the netKyle Connor: goal (slap)Cole Perfetti: saved (snap)Viggo Björck: saved (backhand)Dylan Samberg: missed the netNeal Pionk: saved (slap)Gabriel Vilardi: saved (snap)Dylan Samberg: missed the netViggo Björck: saved (snap)Cole Perfetti: saved (snap)Dylan Samberg: missed the netKyle Connor: saved (snap)
  • 2Goals7% of attempts
  • 17Saved63% of attempts
  • 8Missed the net30% of attempts
Dallas Stars3 G · 51 attempts
Jamie Benn: saved (snap)Wyatt Johnston: saved (snap)Jamie Benn: saved (snap)Tyler Seguin: saved (snap)Jason Robertson: saved (snap)Nils Lundkvist: saved (snap)Miro Heiskanen: missed the netThomas Harley: missed the netKyle Capobianco: saved (snap)Jason Robertson: saved (snap)Mikko Rantanen: missed the netTyler Seguin: saved (slap)Tyler Myers: missed the netMiro Heiskanen: saved (snap)Roope Hintz: saved (tip-in)Radek Faksa: saved (snap)Sam Steel: saved (snap)Miro Heiskanen: saved (snap)Wyatt Johnston: goal (snap)Jamie Benn: saved (snap)Justin Hryckowian: saved (tip-in)Justin Hryckowian: saved (snap)Tyler Myers: saved (wrist)Miro Heiskanen: saved (wrist)Lian Bichsel: missed the netTyler Seguin: missed the netJason Robertson: saved (wrist)Roope Hintz: saved (snap)Mikko Rantanen: missed the netRadek Faksa: missed the netMiro Heiskanen: saved (snap)Joel Kiviranta: saved (tip-in)Jason Robertson: saved (snap)Roope Hintz: saved (tip-in)Tyler Seguin: saved (snap)Mikko Rantanen: saved (snap)Miro Heiskanen: saved (snap)Wyatt Johnston: saved (backhand)Thomas Harley: saved (backhand)Sam Steel: saved (snap)Thomas Harley: saved (snap)Arttu Hyry: missed the netLian Bichsel: saved (slap)Arttu Hyry: missed the netWyatt Johnston: saved (snap)Thomas Harley: missed the netMikko Rantanen: missed the netRoope Hintz: goal (snap)Joel Kiviranta: saved (wrist)Wyatt Johnston: missed the netRoope Hintz: goal (snap)
  • 3Goals6% of attempts
  • 35Saved69% of attempts
  • 13Missed the net25% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

WPG skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Kyle Connor L 101030023:02
Gabriel Vilardi C 101020019:41
Neal Pionk D 011-223229:42
Dylan Samberg D 011+111022:19
Alex Iafallo L 011000012:39
Mark Scheifele C 000021123:40
Dylan DeMelo D 000011122:41
Mario Ferraro D 000-117119:23
Cole Perfetti C 000021019:00
Adam Lowry C 000-101016:37
Isak Rosen R 000010015:18
Brayden Yager C 000010014:38
Morgan Barron C 000-101114:23
Haydn Fleury D 000000114:10
Viggo Björck C 000021012:43
Nino Niederreiter R 000004009:52
Tyrel Bauer D 000+102009:00
Brad Lambert C 000011007:10
WPG goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Stuart Skinner O 353892.1363:47
DAL skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Roope Hintz C 202+252115:20
Wyatt Johnston C 112+142019:55
Jason Robertson L 022+340121:42
Mikko Rantanen R 022+110020:09
Miro Heiskanen D 011+350129:20
Thomas Harley D 000-123228:27
Lian Bichsel D 000-111217:47
Justin Hryckowian C 000022017:22
Nils Lundkvist D 000010216:47
Arttu Hyry R 000-100016:11
Sam Steel C 000-121016:09
Tyler Myers D 000010215:44
Tyler Seguin C 000+131115:09
Jamie Benn L 000-130013:22
Kyle Capobianco D 000-110212:27
Joel Kiviranta L 000020010:02
Colin Blackwell C 000001009:26
Radek Faksa C 000012007:23
DAL goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Jake Oettinger W 171989.5263:03

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Roope Hintz DAL Points0.52 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.55 Over
Jason Robertson DAL Points1.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal3.54 Over
Mikko Rantanen DAL Points1.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.51 Under
Wyatt Johnston DAL Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.54 Over
Neal Pionk WPG Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Kyle Connor WPG Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal3.53 Under

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series WPG 0 – 1 DAL
Last 5 meetings · since 2025-26 WPG 0 – 5 DAL
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Winnipeg Jets 4-3-3 L4 L10 4-3-3 Next game recap: vs MTL · Sun, Oct 25
Dallas Stars 6-3-1 W4 L10 6-3-1 Next game recap: vs NYI · Sun, Oct 25

🔍 Key Suspects Results

3 of 10 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

WPG — Away
Cole Perfetti Cole Perfetti C Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Kyle Connor Kyle Connor LW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Mark Scheifele Mark Scheifele C Points · DraftKings 2+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Neal Pionk Neal Pionk D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
DAL — Home
Sam Steel Sam Steel C Points · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Wyatt Johnston Wyatt Johnston C Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
Jason Robertson Jason Robertson LW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 5+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 4
Miro Heiskanen Miro Heiskanen D Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 5
Roope Hintz Roope Hintz C Shots on Goal · FanDuel 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 5
Mikko Rantanen Mikko Rantanen RW Points · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2

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