โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

ATL vs
NYM

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

June 13, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
ATL 94-68  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: ATL 3, NYM 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Atlanta Braves
Confidence 58%
Projected Score ATL 3 ยท NYM 2
Blowout Probability 5%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries ATL (Martin Perez, Tyler Mahle) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL SP quality edge (FIP 4.09 vs 4.48) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL NYM SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Defensive edge (dWAR 6.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Catcher arm edge (CS% 29pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM ATL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Line move (31pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ATL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ATL โ€” Away LHP
Martin Perez
Martin Perez
ERA3.04
WHIP1.27
FIP4.25
K/96.5
K/BB2.5
Road ERA: 4.46
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.78
WHIP1.30
FIP4.23
K/98.6
K/BB6.0
Home ERA: 4.46

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ATL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Mauricio Dubon LF
  2. 2 Michael Harris II CF
  3. 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
  4. 4 Matt Olson 1B
  5. 5 Austin Riley 3B
  6. 6 Eli White RF
  7. 7 Jorge Mateo DH
  8. 8 Ha-Seong Kim SS
  9. 9 Sandy Leon C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge CF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette 3B
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 4 Jared Young 1B
  6. 5 A.J. Ewing CF
  7. 5 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 6 Francisco Alvarez C
  9. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  10. 7 Eric Wagaman DH
  11. 8 MJ Melendez RF
  12. 9 Vidal Brujan SS
  13. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ATL Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.609 0.704
Bullpen FIP 4.07 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +0.1 -0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ATL -1.5 (-248)
NYM +1.5 (+184)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+172)
Under 4.5 (-229)
Moneyline
ATL -581
NYM +374

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ATL โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYM โ€” Home
Sean Manaea Sean Manaea SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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