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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
MIA

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

May 7, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
BAL 79-82  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 3, MIA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 6 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.13 vs 4.42) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA K edge vs BAL lineup (9.8 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away LHP
Cade Povich
Cade Povich
ERA4.38
WHIP1.49
FIP4.91
K/96.8
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 7.20
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
ERA2.68
WHIP1.14
FIP3.32
K/99.8
K/BB6.5
Home ERA: 2.28

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward DH
  3. 3 Dylan Beavers LF
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo C
  6. 6 Tyler O'Neill RF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Otto Lopez SS
  2. 2 Connor Norby 1B
  3. 3 Liam Hicks C
  4. 4 Christopher Morel DH
  5. 5 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  6. 6 Esteury Ruiz RF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Leo Jimenez 2B
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.700
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -2.3 -1.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -1.5 (+260)
MIA +1.5 (-368)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+101)
Under 8.5 (-131)
Moneyline
BAL +101
MIA -132

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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