โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
NYY

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

May 1, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
BAL 79-82  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 2, NYY 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 6 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.21 vs 4.25, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+3.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away LHP
Cade Povich
Cade Povich
ERA4.38
WHIP1.49
FIP4.91
K/96.8
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 7.20
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Home ERA: 3.99

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman DH
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo C
  6. 6 Dylan Beavers RF
  7. 7 Leody Taveras CF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 2B
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Aaron Judge RF
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Amed Rosario 3B
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Jose Caballero SS
  8. 8 Austin Wells C
  9. 9 Trent Grisham CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.728 0.742
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.52
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 +2.6
Days Rest 0 1
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +2.5 (+185)
NYY -2.5 (-249)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+132)
Under 8.5 (-173)
Moneyline
BAL +1060
NYY -4400

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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