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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
WSH

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

May 15, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 2, WSH 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 63%
Projected Score WSH 4 ยท BAL 2
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 4.13 vs 7.57) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Road ERA: 4.51
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Zack Littell
Zack Littell
ERA5.21
WHIP1.41
FIP6.01
K/95.3
K/BB2.5

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Tyler O'Neill RF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. DH
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 1B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Brady House 3B
  7. 7 Jorbit Vivas 2B
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Jacob Young CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.749
Bullpen FIP 3.94 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -0.7 -0.2
Days Rest 1 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -1.5 (+518)
WSH +1.5 (-920)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+163)
Under 5.5 (-217)
Moneyline
BAL +254
WSH -359

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Shane Baz Shane Baz SP
Outs
15.5
58 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home

No data yet.

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