โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
DET

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers

May 4, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
BOS 87-75  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 5, DET 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 6 ยท DET 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 2.06 vs 4.09) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 8.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BOS lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS K edge vs DET lineup (10.4 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS DET SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
ERA3.03
WHIP1.10
FIP2.92
K/910.4
K/BB8.0
Road ERA: 2.55
vs
DET โ€” Home LHP
Tarik Skubal
Tarik Skubal
ERA2.72
WHIP0.96
FIP2.41
K/910.6
K/BB9.0
Home ERA: 3.82

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran DH
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Roman Anthony LF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Andruw Monasterio 3B
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jahmai Jones DH
  2. 2 Matt Vierling CF
  3. 3 Dillon Dingler C
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  6. 6 Wenceel Perez RF
  7. 7 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
  8. 8 Colt Keith 3B
  9. 9 Zack Short SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.680 0.681
Bullpen FIP 3.55 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +0.1 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (+378)
DET +1.5 (-589)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+710)
Under 9.5 (-1600)
Moneyline
BOS -3200
DET +960

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Payton Tolle Payton Tolle SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
58 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home

No data yet.

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